... Pandora’s box full of problems related to terrorism, drug trafficking, organized crime and, unfortunately, religious extremism”. What if Afghanistan turns out to be a hotbed for international terrorism?
Andrey Kazantsev:
Prospects and Scenarios for Afghanistan: Russian and Chinese Interests
Terrorism in Russia has always been a pain in the neck since the collapse of the Soviet Union. It is not by chance that the very word “terrorism” is mentioned at least fifteen times within the new 2021 Russian National ...
On September 30, 2021, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies at Harvard University held a public international expert discussion on the topic:
"The Taliban Takeover and Central Asian Security: What Will Russia and China Do?"
On September 30, 2021, Davis Center for Russian ...
... international institution, but in addition to formal equality of rights in world politics, there is a system that gives primacy to the strong. This approach promotes a “rules-based international order” and has often received legitimate criticism from Russia. However, if we take a close look at the modern world order, we see that at the centre are laws that are far more powerful than any formal or informal rules that are under discussion.
The inglorious end of the US military intervention in Afghanistan (and in the Middle East) made it possible to speculate that the end of the domination of the Western powers in world affairs has finally come. The only problem standing in the way of a more just international order is America’s inability ...
... foresees external powers playing an active role in the Afghan conflict (a proxy war), as is the case of Syria or Libya. Moreover, highly dangerous terrorist originations might mobilize (for example, the Islamic State of Iraq and Greater Syria, banned in Russia) in Afghanistan, while the chances of armed groups of international terrorists invading neighbouring countries, including those of Central Asia, will rise.
It is worth noting that the possible rapprochement between Afghanistan’s two most powerful military ...
... workshop, there was a discussion of the role of Russia and France in the possible restoration of the JCPOA, future of the Iran nuclear deal, key directions of Iran's regional policy and the transformation of its foreign policy due to the situation in Afghanistan.
Leading Russian and French diplomats and experts attended the meeting. On the RIAC side, the meeting was attended by: Andrey Kortunov, Director General at the RIAC; Aydar Aganin, Deputy Director at the Foreign Policy Planning Department of the Ministry of Foreign ...
The value of any potential deal with the Taliban is apparently not entirely clear to Russia, China or any of the Central Asian countries
The value of any potential deal with the Taliban is apparently not entirely clear to Russia, China or any of the Central Asian countries. As a rule, they combine active diplomacy towards Afghanistan with active military preparations, writes Valdai Club expert Vasily Kashin.
The defeat and abrupt withdrawal of the United States from Afghanistan, coupled with the instant collapse of the regime it had built in that country, has raised the ...
... offered Taliban-affiliated militia a reward for the murder of U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan.
Source
s of the newspaper claimed to have uncovered such information during interrogations of Afghan militia.
Andrey Kortunov:
A Tale of Two Interventions: Why Russia Succeeded in Syria When U.S. Failed in Afghanistan
As a result, senator Robert Menendez suggested in September 2020 that the U.S. Congress move forward with yet another anti-Russia sanctions package, the
Russia Bounty Response Act of 2020
. The Act implied freezing assets, visa restrictions ...
... have to restore relations with its NATO allies. Also, one cannot exclude Turkey’s chaotic attempts to restore relations with the countries of Central Asia that are close in language, which will also require some Russian attention.
In general, for Russia, the defeat of the United States in Afghanistan means not only a decrease in the capabilities of the main opponent in international affairs, but also a general change in the strategic situation. In particular, we cannot now exclude the possibility that under the new conditions Russia’s ...
... capabilities nor Islamabad’s political tools; unlike Iran, it does not share a long border with Afghanistan.
There, however, remains a lingering “Afghanistan syndrome,” and the Russian public is strongly opposed to any form of military involvement by Russia in Afghanistan.
In the late 1990s, Moscow did actively collaborate with Uzbek and Tajik groups united in the so-called Northern Alliance in the North of Afghanistan. Following the international occupation of Afghanistan, the Northern Alliance was disbanded ...
... post-unipolar world will be much more prosperous thanks to the improvement of the economic condition in countries in the developing world.
To mark this significant transition, the U.S. would be well-advised to engage other major powers, especially China and Russia, and
leverage their cooperation
to rebuild Afghanistan, which markes the end of unipolarity and has a realistic potential to mark the beginning of the post-unipolar future.
