... designed to enhance…resilience…in the face of Russian hybrid threats.”[2] As previously mentioned, four of these points deal with cybersecurity, the preservation of sovereignty in terms of states’ political and economic endeavors, low-level usage of force, and the use of information warfare. The fifth element presented calls for the creation of a transatlantic coordinating council, which would serve to facilitate cooperative operations concerted between NATO and the European Union. This supranational body would have the authority to make decisions that would subsequently impact policy-making and decisions implemented by either party. The authors stress that the organization would have its foundations ...
... close.
This is the fourth article in a series looking ahead at the drivers of Russian foreign policy from 2017 to 2022.
In the next five years, Russia’s relations with the United States and Europe will be competitive and tense. Russia will not invade NATO territory unprovoked, but incidents along the new front line, stretching from the Arctic to the Baltic to the Black Sea and elsewhere, may occasionally endanger peace between Russia and the United States and its allies. Operating from a position ...
... Putin’s position on Syria, and he has given up the demand that Syrian dictator Assad must go. On the contrary, he agreed with Russia and Iran, to mutually fight ISIS and Al-Qaeda associate Al-Nusra movement. Furthermore, he pushed deeper to replace NATO military hardware, with Russian and Chinese military technologies. During his visit to Kremlin, he signed a deal to purchase S-400 air and missile defense system. Previously known as the S-300PMU-3, is an anti-aircraft weapon system developed in ...
... problems in relations. But no one could have predicted that they would grow to such dimensions within so short a period. The Euro-Atlantic security system was plunged into a real disaster – sudden, brief and all-embracing.
After the Cold War, Russia and NATO largely demilitarized and significantly curtailed their military capacity. The likelihood of a military conflict in Europe was reduced to a minimum. Moscow was aggrieved by NATO enlargement, but its formal expansion was accompanied by reductions ...
... intended to provoke thought about the future of U.S.-European-Russian relationship. These questions seek to keep the door open to a discussion of realistic options that could help lead to the eventual resolution of a number of disputes.
Ilya Kravchenko:
USA and NATO: Who Needs Who?
Geostrategic Concerns
At the roots of the crisis is the fact that NATO and the European Union (EU) have now expanded to states that border the Russian Federation in such a way as to directly or indirectly impact what Moscow considers ...
... clear again that leaders recognize their responsibility to work together to prevent nuclear catastrophe, and would be positively received by global leaders and publics.
A second step could be to
increase military-to-military communication through a new NATO–Russia Military Crisis Management Group
. Restarting bilateral military-to-military dialogue between the United States and Russia, essential throughout the Cold War, should be an immediate and urgent priority. The focus of these initiatives should ...
Even during the election campaign, Trump questioned the future stability of NATO calling the Alliance an obsolete organization. Moreover, he constantly criticized its member states for not appreciating the assistance of the United States which, in his opinion, was expressed in the supply of military equipment and personnel. In ...
... international terrorism on the global scale. Each of the tasks requires significant political investments from both sides, neither of them we can take for granted.
2) Russian upcoming military exercise Zapad-2017 is causing concern in the Baltic States and NATO. Do you think Russia is interested in making the exercise transparent and defensive or is it rather going to be a demonstration of force meant to frighten NATO´s eastern members?
You should keep in mind that Russia – even the Russian leadership ...
... unfair arrangement since only the U.S. and Russia imposed self-restrictions.
The exacerbation of tensions, mutual pressure and accusations have put a cornerstone Russia-U.S. agreement – the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty – on the brink of termination.... ... basis for creating “neo-Pershing” missiles.
vpk-news.ru
RSD-10 Pioneer (RSD-10 Pioneer)
Yet it was another missile, 9M729 (NATO reporting name: SSC-8), that was the real troublemaker.
However, when the Obama administration switched to the so-called ...
... not
Realpolitik
. It’s about meeting expectations of the people/voters to feel more secure and this is what e.g. Polish government aims for. Yet, even if we apply military balance of capabilities approach, these measures – a couple of thousand soldiers rotating – cannot be seriously interpreted as something that changed material situation significantly. In particular when you compare them with the scope of regular Russian exercises conducted not far from NATO borders in recent couple of years.
To shift a little towards the EU-U.S. relations, what are the expectations about Trump’s foreign policy input?
Everyone had expectations of different kind and everyone now has to do a reality-check. The new ...
