Analytical articles

Biden’s Middle East strategy looks like a desire to find a middle ground between two extremes: over-involvement in the regional set-up or a complete turn toward the Indo-Pacific

NATO and its partners will soon have to think about the limits and purpose of expanding the organization’s areas of activity

Relations between Russia and Ukraine are at risk of entering the ranks of long-term conflicts, similar to relations between India and Pakistan, or North and South Korea

Though Russia is not close to Taiwan Straits, any conflict in East Asia will have a spillover impact on people in the rest of the world

As long as the country reports economic growth and people are fed and clothed, the Chinese interpretation of democracy and human rights will be supported by its people

It is necessary to be ready for a scenario where the property of individuals and structures in the EU is confiscated, as well as their criminal prosecution in certain EU countries for violating…

Paradoxical as it may sound, the bunch of contradictions that has accumulated in Russia–Iran relations does not stand in the way of rapprochement between the two countries

In the context of the sanctions tsunami, Russia will have to face the good old practice of bans and “jarligs”, recalling the experience of the Horde

A violent end to the Libyan crisis also seems unlikely in the near term, as the forces in the country’s east will have trouble organizing an effective attack on Tripoli without the support of…

Today, there is both a need and a possibility to couple integrations of the North and the South

Diverging views of Russia and Iran on Syria are unlikely to cause a true breakdown of their tactical partnership

Escalation Scenarios