Andrey Kortunov

RIAC, Institute of Far Eastern Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences and Institute of International Studies at Fudan University Report #70 / 2021

RIAC and ECFA Report № 68/2021

RIAC and IISS of Peking University Report #66 / 2021

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It would be very disappointing if the international community were to respond to the events of 2020 in the same near-sighted, fearful and inadequate manner that it responded to the events of…

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CSIS and RIAC Report

RIAC and Africa Business Initiative Union Joint Report #53/2020

Report No. 41/2019

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RIAC and RUSI Report, #45 / 2019

RIAC and RUSI Report No. 38/2018

A Forecasting Report

RIAC and VIF Report #34, 2017

RIAC and CSR Report

RIAC and RUSI Report #32, 2017

The expansion in the Northern direction offered the nation a variety of unique opportunities, but it also created numerous challenges that other Europeans never confronted

In many ways, Brussels and Beijing face similar challenges coming from Washington

In Paris the European Union managed to find a mutually acceptable compromise with the Global South, India turned out to be able to overcome its frictions with China, and only the US and the UK…

If the Transatlantic alliance were to fade away, everybody around should be interested in making its deconstruction as orderly and as smooth as possible

Still, the Trump plan in its current form is only half-baked

Major Accomplishments, Unfinished Business, and Future Challenges

The future belongs to new flexible, inclusive mechanisms rather than to old, rigid hierarchical blocks

Great powers claim to be great because they cannot afford the luxury of pure situational opportunism, typical for many other international actors

The next four years are likely to be a difficult period for the US foreign policy

Will Russia continue its “business as usual” aimed at maintaining the existing status-quo or will it be forced to review and to revise its positions towards Israel, Palestinians, Iran and its…

The Russian and the Indian approaches to security matters compliment each other and should generate the synergy needed to address the very complicated Asia security agenda

The North Korean nation has paid such a high price for its independence that it will never consider becoming a junior partner of either Moscow or Beijing

BRICS intends to turn itself into one of the most articulated voices of all the Global South, which so far remains grossly underrepresented within most multilateral international institutions

2024 may become a historical turning point for the BRICS group

The fundamental challenge for BRICS summits is to shift the focus from rather general political statements to specific proposals and solutions that reflect the fundamental interests of developing…

Changing Russia’s demographics, shifts in the global trade structure, and transition to the post-information society resulting from the fourth industrial revolution

The international community has to continue its search not for an elusive general consensus on the desirable world order, but rather for attainable compromises on specific matters

China's success should teach us that no other nation should try to copy China's model but should instead create a national model for itself

Nobody wanted to fight

In the 21st century, the whole idea of junior and senior partners looks outdated and even archaic. True international partnerships are based on mutual respect, empathy and a carefully calibrated…

America will more-so have to adapt to the emerging world than to adapt the world to itself

The ICE alliance has more geopolitical and geostrategic rationale than economic

For achieving its ambitious economic and social development goals, China needs a friendly and stable international environment

Can the US achieve affluence and prosperity at the expense of its partners?

Will Asia teach Europe a lesson?

Can Moscow make a meaningful contribution to an improvement in China-India relations?

The trip is likely to be quite special and important

The European security agenda might become a hostage to the developments taking place in other regions of the world—like East Asia or Middle East and Noth Africa

As the Cold War experience demonstrates, only strong public pressure could force reluctant leaders of the global arms race to reconsider their militant positions

The institutional weaknesses of today should probably be accepted as an integral and indispensable part of the world order mysterious metamorphosis turning an antediluvian caterpillar into a…

Is it possible to restore the acceptable level of global and regional governance on the “bottom-up” basis, that is, through a set of tactical, situational, transactional agreements on individual…

Perhaps, the notion that the established two-state paradigm has no workable alternatives needs to be clarified or even revisited?

Is an efficient international cooperation in fighting against terrorism possible in the era of intense geopolitical competition?

In the classroom of civilizations, there can be no omniscient teachers and obedient pupils

Over the last 20 years, China and Russia promoted the idea of complete demilitarization of outer space

How Tehran Differs from Other Regional Players

Africa is big enough to accommodate everybody—its needs are incredibly huge and its prospects are truly breathtaking

This development would serve not only strategic interests of the two sides, but also global stability

World politics is fast degrading into a zero-sum game

He lived long enough to see the system of international relations, to which he had devoted his long professional career hook, line and sinker — running amok and collapsing

The Russia-Middle East policy has demonstrated considerable resilience, as has the regional system of international relations

The future belongs to responsible players ready to respect each other and to fine-tune a delicate balance of interests, not a crude balance of power

An innovative Chinese-Russian strategic approach to food security would be an important dimension of the emerging world order that both Moscow and Beijing are trying to promote

The recognition of interdependence between security and development suggests that China is likely to become more active in global and regional security matters than it has been ever before

The core of the new system is going to emerge in Eurasia, which remains not only the most populous, but also the most dynamic and economically potent continent of our planet

If joint efforts succeeded in preventing the spiral of arms race in Northeast Asia, the global nuclear non-proliferation regime, hopelessly lagging behind the current geopolitical dynamics, would get…

The growing US-Japanese-South Korean military cooperation inevitably leads to stronger China-Russia-North Korea ties

Contemporary geopolitics is fueling terrorism’s further rise

Like Russia, India is likely to resist the evolution of the international system towards a rigid U.S.-China bipolarity since such an evolution would inevitably deprive New Delhi of the freedom of…

The most important issue of the 15th BRICS summit is, of course, the likely decisions on new members

The whole idea that someone—be it Moscow, Washington or Beijing—can ‘lose’ India looks excessively arrogant, if not completely preposterous

If just one word were to be used to describe the preliminary outcomes of this dramatic crisis, the word would be resilience

Speech at the 11th Beijing World Peace Forum

To be instrumental the SCO has to resist the temptation to find a narrowly defined focus for its future activities. The breadth of its mandate is yet another comparative advantage to be preserved and…

The growing gap between the ends that the US seeks in international relations and the means that it has available is particularly striking in the case of the so-called dual containment policy that…

The recent trip of Li Shangfu suggests that Beijing and Moscow are consistently moving to a new model of cooperation that might look quite appealing to a broad range of international actors in the…

Probably the most important takeaway from President Xi's visit to Moscow

The challenge for Russia is to become an organic part of Chinese technological and production chains, including those in high-tech areas

The resolution of the crisis might well trigger long-awaited reforms in the global order, which should imply, among other things, a more prominent role for the Global South in the international system

Will there be a chain reaction of quagmires with the international order collapsing in the end?

The future of Japan cannot be based only on its partnerships with the US and NATO, as important as this partnership is for Tokyo. This future also depends on Japan's relations to its Eurasian…

Why the OSCE remains important in the current settings

The focus on maintaining dominance in Europe, while postponing the shift to Asia, shows that Washington’s elderly elites are stuck in the 20th century

The new emphasis on China will not change the US position on Ukraine, but it might affect the foreign policy discourse in Washington

The post-conflict task will be to create an entirely new economy rather than return to the old economic structure of the beginning of the century

The sad fact is that the majority of contemporary liberal democracies remain deeply divided

For both sides, the stakes in the current crisis are higher than they were 60 years ago

Both New Delhi and Moscow have to sort out problems with their archrivals in order to approach conflicts in their neighbourhoods with more confidence and to enhance the efficacy of multilateral…

Agreements on certain problems slightly increase the chances of the parties returning to the negotiating table

It is hard to imagine a situation where Vladimir Putin, or even one of his likely successors, would willingly sacrifice the country’s sovereignty and independence, even for the sake of promoting…

The current progress in military technology, coupled with other trends in the contemporary international arena, portend a new spike in terrorist activities in the nearest future

Though Russia is not close to Taiwan Straits, any conflict in East Asia will have a spillover impact on people in the rest of the world

Diversity is one of the main sources of G20 legitimacy that G7 or NATO clearly lacks

BRICS can help to "sew" the fabric of global security that is being fragmented in front of our eyes

On the prospects of Russia‒NATO relations

Washington still has to muster the art of the chiefdom in the region that used to be the US imperial backyard

Moscow should prepare for a long-term stand-off with Washington

From personnel to propaganda and from strategy to statecraft, the two competing post-Soviet models are being put to the test. The outcome will have repercussions that go far beyond Europe

Which trends seen in the West reflect Finland’s and Sweden’s possible entry into NATO

Today, the Russian society is in a state of extreme excitement and even exaltation. But public sentiments can and should be managed

The paradoxical result of Russia's foreign policy over the past 30 years is that the country has been able to turn into a very active global power without becoming a legitimate regional leader

Numerous visits of Western leaders to Moscow on the eve of the crisis are among the foreign policy failures, and the Russian side failed to persuade anything, with political and diplomatic compromise…

China and Russia are like a whale and an elephant, to put them into one basket of "global autocracies" is a very questionable and misleading generalization, to say the least

What Should Russia’s Updated Foreign Policy Concept Focus on?

If Moscow believes that the main security threat it faces is NATO military infrastructure moving closer to Russia’s western borders, it would make sense to focus on the infrastructure itself rather…

The Preliminary Lessons of the Crisis in Kazakhstan

Twelve objectives for Russia’s foreign policy in the coming year

A smart foreign policy has to focus on international problems rather than on foreign adversaries

An exchange of views between UK and Russian experts on the growing tensions between Russia and the West

Russian policy is essentially an attempt to balance a number of diverging principles, goals, priorities and modes of engagement in the Eastern Mediterranean

Not sending officials to the Olympic Games in Beijing, Western leaders demonstrated a spectacular lack of vision and a deficit of common sense

Logic, common sense and event analysis suggest that a large-scale war with Ukraine is completely irrelevant to Moscow’s plans

The President of Russia has made an exception for India. And this conveys the importance that Moscow attaches to bilateral cooperation with the leading power of the South Asian subcontinent

The Lithuanian gamble has low chances of succeeding

Russia can do quite a lot at the political level, but it cannot replace Europe as a potential driver of Iran’s economic and social development

Franco-Russian Conversation with Andrey Kortunov and Michel Duclos