Andrey Kortunov

RIAC and ISPI Joint Report

It would be very disappointing if the international community were to respond to the events of 2020 in the same near-sighted, fearful and inadequate manner that it responded to the events of…

RIAC–RUSI Report

CSIS and RIAC Report

RIAC and Africa Business Initiative Union Joint Report #53/2020

Report No. 41/2019

Report No. 48/2019

The Working Group on the Future of U.S.-Russia Relations’ Report

RIAC and RUSI Report, #45 / 2019

CSIS and RIAC Report

Based on discussions with experts, officials and military figures in Moscow, European capitals and NATO Headquarters, this report identifies practical steps to stabilise the Russia-NATO confrontation

RIAC and RUSI Report No. 38/2018

A Forecasting Report

A Report of the CSIS Russia and Eurasia Program and the Russian International Affairs Council

RIAC and VIF Report #34, 2017

RIAC and CSR Report

RIAC and RUSI Report #32, 2017

Speech at the 11th Beijing World Peace Forum

To be instrumental the SCO has to resist the temptation to find a narrowly defined focus for its future activities. The breadth of its mandate is yet another comparative advantage to be preserved and…

The growing gap between the ends that the US seeks in international relations and the means that it has available is particularly striking in the case of the so-called dual containment policy that…

The recent trip of Li Shangfu suggests that Beijing and Moscow are consistently moving to a new model of cooperation that might look quite appealing to a broad range of international actors in the…

Probably the most important takeaway from President Xi's visit to Moscow

The challenge for Russia is to become an organic part of Chinese technological and production chains, including those in high-tech areas

The resolution of the crisis might well trigger long-awaited reforms in the global order, which should imply, among other things, a more prominent role for the Global South in the international system

Will there be a chain reaction of quagmires with the international order collapsing in the end?

The future of Japan cannot be based only on its partnerships with the US and NATO, as important as this partnership is for Tokyo. This future also depends on Japan's relations to its Eurasian…

Why the OSCE remains important in the current settings

The focus on maintaining dominance in Europe, while postponing the shift to Asia, shows that Washington’s elderly elites are stuck in the 20th century

The new emphasis on China will not change the US position on Ukraine, but it might affect the foreign policy discourse in Washington

The post-conflict task will be to create an entirely new economy rather than return to the old economic structure of the beginning of the century

The sad fact is that the majority of contemporary liberal democracies remain deeply divided

For both sides, the stakes in the current crisis are higher than they were 60 years ago

Both New Delhi and Moscow have to sort out problems with their archrivals in order to approach conflicts in their neighbourhoods with more confidence and to enhance the efficacy of multilateral…

Agreements on certain problems slightly increase the chances of the parties returning to the negotiating table

It is hard to imagine a situation where Vladimir Putin, or even one of his likely successors, would willingly sacrifice the country’s sovereignty and independence, even for the sake of promoting…

The current progress in military technology, coupled with other trends in the contemporary international arena, portend a new spike in terrorist activities in the nearest future

Though Russia is not close to Taiwan Straits, any conflict in East Asia will have a spillover impact on people in the rest of the world

Diversity is one of the main sources of G20 legitimacy that G7 or NATO clearly lacks

BRICS can help to "sew" the fabric of global security that is being fragmented in front of our eyes

On the prospects of Russia‒NATO relations

Washington still has to muster the art of the chiefdom in the region that used to be the US imperial backyard

Moscow should prepare for a long-term stand-off with Washington

From personnel to propaganda and from strategy to statecraft, the two competing post-Soviet models are being put to the test. The outcome will have repercussions that go far beyond Europe

Which trends seen in the West reflect Finland’s and Sweden’s possible entry into NATO

Today, the Russian society is in a state of extreme excitement and even exaltation. But public sentiments can and should be managed

The paradoxical result of Russia's foreign policy over the past 30 years is that the country has been able to turn into a very active global power without becoming a legitimate regional leader

Numerous visits of Western leaders to Moscow on the eve of the crisis are among the foreign policy failures, and the Russian side failed to persuade anything, with political and diplomatic compromise…

China and Russia are like a whale and an elephant, to put them into one basket of "global autocracies" is a very questionable and misleading generalization, to say the least

What Should Russia’s Updated Foreign Policy Concept Focus on?

If Moscow believes that the main security threat it faces is NATO military infrastructure moving closer to Russia’s western borders, it would make sense to focus on the infrastructure itself rather…

The Preliminary Lessons of the Crisis in Kazakhstan

Twelve objectives for Russia’s foreign policy in the coming year

A smart foreign policy has to focus on international problems rather than on foreign adversaries

An exchange of views between UK and Russian experts on the growing tensions between Russia and the West

Russian policy is essentially an attempt to balance a number of diverging principles, goals, priorities and modes of engagement in the Eastern Mediterranean

Not sending officials to the Olympic Games in Beijing, Western leaders demonstrated a spectacular lack of vision and a deficit of common sense

Logic, common sense and event analysis suggest that a large-scale war with Ukraine is completely irrelevant to Moscow’s plans

The President of Russia has made an exception for India. And this conveys the importance that Moscow attaches to bilateral cooperation with the leading power of the South Asian subcontinent

The Lithuanian gamble has low chances of succeeding

Instead of the "end of history," we will observe more intense multifaceted competition between different types of social development

Daydreamers, businessmen, box-tickers, martyrs, hedonists, philosophers

The changing rules of the global geopolitical game and the current diversification of New Delhi’s foreign policy priorities make it all the more urgent to explore new avenues in Russia–India…

What the G20 Summit in Rome has shown the world

The United Nations is much bigger than its Security Council, all the importance of UNSC notwithstanding

The only way the relations between New Delhi and Islamabad can return to normal is within a broader international context. The same is true of Moscow — Kiev relations

It appears that the Biden administration is not ready for a real showdown with Beijing over the Taiwan question

Decisions made by NATO may be unpalatable for Moscow, but they are generally consistent and predictable. The same cannot be said of structures such as AUKUS

Unlike in September 2001, today the international community is no longer united around Washington in confronting this global challenge

The Kremlin succeeded in making its presence in Syria stable, financially affordable and generally acceptable to the Russian public. The White House failed to do the same in Afghanistan

Northeast Asia entered the 21st century without quite bidding goodbye to the previous era

Finding solution to some problems would actually be easier without Washington, since the U.S. is often part of the problem rather than part of the solution

Claims to global leadership should imply additional responsibilities from the part of the United States

Should humankind fail to agree on some civilizational synthesis within the next couple of decades, “globalization 2.0” will definitely fall short of accomplishing the most fundamental mission of…

Most of the Russian experts focus on the multiple challenges that the EU encounters today rather than on the obvious historical achievements of the European project

Recent years have ushered in a historically protracted process of rectification, vodka and political realism in global politics

Neither Moscow nor Brussels needs another “ceremonial” summit

The Soviet Union collapsed long ago; this date still unites us

The time has come for SCO member states to bring this body out to the light and to rise up to a new, post-US Afghan challenge

Africa should become a global project that could unite East and West, Atlantic liberals and Eurasian autocrats

Surely, nobody is willing to see another Helsinki scenario in June 2021, this time in Geneva. Yet, do we have good reason to hope for a different outcome this time?

The OSCE does not have a magic wand to fix numerous problems between Russia and the West, but it can offer a platform to discuss these problems in a rational and mutually respectful way

A collective security dream

The problem of trust between the people of Russia and Iran remains unresolved, if only because they have very poor knowledge of each other

The main findings of the workshop on ‘European Security’ organised by RUSI and RIAC in February 2021

The door for US-Russian negotiations is still open

What if four or five out of the seven vulnerable straits and canals were blocked at once?

A one-year extension to the current aid arrangements would be no one’s first choice—but would ensure civilians in Idlib continue to receive help

Neither in Moscow nor in Beijing do they harbor illusions about opportunities to fix their problems with Washington anytime soon

What kind of Syria would we like to see and might we see by March 2031?

Like Asgard, Armenia is not a place, it is a people

It seems that today, in most societies, the public puts fairness before freedom

Russia must be able to demonstrate results that exceed those in its attempts to integrate into Globalisation 1.0 at the beginning of the century

Combining Alexander’s global universalism and noble idealism with Aristotle’s rational democracy and political pluralism could usher in radically new development directions for our world

Russia and India are going to lose a lot if they have to take sides in this forthcoming US-China rivalry

We may assume that if at least half of these tasks are fulfilled, then the next 12 months can be rightfully deemed a success for Russia’s foreign policy

We will not see an early US-Russian summit in 2021

The only plausible alternative to multilateralism is not a restoration of an old bipolar, unipolar or multipolar order, but a global disorder with no agreed-upon rules, procedures and hierarches of…

Although the U.S.-China-Russia triangle is still a popular and useful analytical pattern and possible future scenario for relations, it does not resemble that of the Cold War

Even a partial restoration of transatlantic unity under a President Biden will be a blow to the official Kremlin narrative about the inexorable movement of the international system toward a…

Biden’s harsh anti-Russian campaign rhetoric should not be taken literally

What lessons can Russia and Chine draw from the Korean War to better handle conflict?

If you expect Moscow to give in to external pressure and make concessions, you’ll be waiting a long time  

How Russia deals with its sphere of influence

The logic and dynamics of Turkey’s current foreign policy continue to place Erdogan in the middle of a minefield, where any step could prove fatal for his relations with Vladimir Putin

Current preliminary pencil sketches of the complex Eurasian structure of the future contain more questions than answers

A true reform of the UN cannot start in New York; it should start in national capitals of member states

Neither the coronavirus nor the economic recession will automatically lead to a détente, let alone a reset in relations between Russia and the West

In today’s world, societies cannot interact through the bottleneck of intergovernmental relations

Even if the political clouds are miraculously dispersed and the New START is revived in the coming months, it would not do much to bring back the Soviet-American model of arms control that took shape…

Yemen’s looming humanitarian disaster and its people’s pleas for peace require action on three levels

Just like the classics of Marxism-Leninism idealized the proletariat and demonized the bourgeoisie, the UN Secretary-General idealizes the South and demonizes the North

Franco-Russian Conversation with Andrey Kortunov and Michel Duclos