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Game not over: on Ukraine’s rebuff to the EU deal

... Association Agreement. It’s been known that such an agreement would be against Russia’s well-articulated geopolitical interests, and that it would much prefer to see its South-Western neighbour join its own regional integration project, the Customs Union. It’s been known that Moscow will deploy every tool to undermine it – and that it has a number of areas for potential blackmail. It’s been known that therefore Ukraine will decide the integration contest Russia had provoked ...

Опубликовано:
05.12.2013 03:42:00

Ukraine’s Choice and Russia’s Objections: DCFTA vs. Customs Union

... most important carrots for countries of the Eastern Partnership. Ukraine’s negotiations with the EU over the Association Agreement, which contains the DCFTA, were concluded at the turn of the year 2011. On the opposite shore stands the offer of Customs Union, consisting of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan. In the following article, I will briefly analyze possible outcomes of finalization of one or another in the light of most recent developments. Two important meetings of Ukrainian President ...

Опубликовано:
20.03.2013 13:40:00

Stalemate at Uzhhorod: on the faux rapprochement between the EU and Ukraine

... lose its essence, its raison d'être. In the end, despite the numerous declarations of commitment from both sides, any advancement in the EU-Ukraine relations is unlikely as no side bows to the other. Whether an agreement to join the Customs Union will be reached is not for this article to reveal - but, amidst fears of 'becoming just another governor of Putin's', Mr Yanukovych will be pleased to hold on to his independence as long as he can while setting his ...

Опубликовано:
05.03.2013 18:08:00

International Consequences of Ukraine Going East or West

Ukraine’s foreign policy towards its Eastern and Western neighbours could ultimately lead to broader international consequences that one would expect. Its decision to sign the Association agreement with the European Union or joining the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, might take the story of one of the sides much deeper than to wider economic cooperation, trade or visa liberalization. European Ukraine Approach of the European Union can be perceived as very ambiguous ...

Опубликовано:
15.02.2013 13:13:00

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Poll conducted

  1. In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?
    U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements  
     33 (31%)
    U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity  
     30 (28%)
    U.S. wants to dissolve Russia  
     24 (22%)
    U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China  
     21 (19%)
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