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Prepare for the Worst and Strive for the Best. Russia’s and China’s Perceptions of Developments in International Security
... ... disintegrate, such as old security mechanisms between NATO and Russia, and the establishment of new security mechanisms in Europe ... ... the ongoing transformation is about how could the erosion of the world order might or might not affect individual states. Is it ... ... will become more difficult to achieve.
Ivan Timofeev:
Ending Western Domination Is Key to the Emerging World Order. Here’s ...
... may well lead to a complete annihilation of the humankind. Instead, they prefer to go for proxy wars (like the one that the West now wages in Ukraine against Russia) or economic and technological wars (like the one that the United States has launched against China). Such wars may last for many years and even decades without defining the ultimate winner. Therefore, a new balance of powers—in Europe, in Asia or in the world at large—is likely to remain uncertain, ambiguous and contested for a long time. Thus, the new world order is unlikely to become a product of another Big Deal of Grand Bargain between major players, it is more likely to emerge ...
... Beijing—can ‘lose’ India looks excessively arrogant, if not completely preposterous
Is Russia losing India? They raise this question at practically every conference, workshop... ... even further in the near future. Moscow has to confront the rapid expansion of the Western presence in the Indian arms markets and the current "Made in India"... ... general trends in the development of world politics of our times.
Managing India and China
Dipanjan Roy Chaudhury:
India’s Eurasian Pathway: Towards an Evolving Strategic...
... in part, for the losses sustained from the rupture with the West—which of course is their immediate objective. The overarching goal of Moscow’s new approach to Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America should be creating elements of a new world order that Moscow (and Beijing) loudly proclaim. It does not matter, at this stage, that while Russia is aiming to replace the current setup with a wholly new one, China is merely seeking to modify the current order by substantially reducing Western dominance in the existing institutions and expanding the influence of other players, first of all itself. As far as ending American (and allied) hegemony is concerned, Moscow and Beijing can and do march together.
The two countries’ adherence ...
The conflict between Russia and the West is likely to drag on for decades, regardless of how and along exactly what lines ... ... integrate into the Western-centric world system long before the end of the Cold War. China retained a high level of sovereignty in terms of its internal structure, but quickly... ... or less major players also remained within the rules of the game of the “liberal world order”, avoiding challenging it. Individual rebels, such as Iran and North Korea...
... and the State Department?
The return of the unipolar world?
Andrey Kortunov:
A New Western Cohesion and World Order
Most of the current talk about the resurgence of Pax Americana is in one... ... today that the US is the main beneficiary of this conflict and in particular of the Russian-Ukrainian dimension.
The current crisis has undoubtedly come in handy for President... ... Under US pressure, Turkey decided to refuse to service Russian Mir payment cards, and China’s Huawei was forced to begin winding down its activities in Russia.
The new...
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Working paper № 69 / 2022
The working paper explores the factors that predetermined the Western switch from divergence to convergence in the 2020s along with the key features... ... Collective West diverge? How likely is this unity to extend to subsequent engagement with China as a major strategic adversary? What are the prospects for a significant number... ... that could provide answers to these and other questions.
A New Western Cohesion and World Order
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... the former U.S.-led unipolar system to an emerging Multipolar World Order. Experts debate exactly when this process began, but ... ... 2013-2014 that resulted in Crimea’s democratic reunification with Russia, former U.S. President Donald Trump’s election in 2016,... ... Partnership (GEP) and Delhi’s Indo-Pacific vision.
The U.S.-led West’s unprecedented anti-Russian sanctions that were imposed ... ... targeted Great Power would become disproportionately dependent on China in response since the People’s Republic was considered ...
Working Paper #66, 2022
Working Paper #66, 2022
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict will lead to long-term global socio-economic and political consequences in the foreseeable future. ... ... transformation—from relatively positive to extremely negative. The author formulated three potentially possible options for the current world order transformation, assessing the probability and consequences of the practical implementation each of them.
Restoration,...
For the West, the battle for Ukraine has become the battle for Russia. The battle for Russia is only the first phase of the battle against China
For the West, Russia’s actions in Ukraine have revealed and confirmed the true face of Russia and its leadership. For much of the global East and South, the West’s policy from the mid-1990s right up to its gross overreaction to the situation ...
