... managing labour migration.
If the conflict remains stable and deescalated there will be more opportunities for diplomacy at various levels, which would permit a resumption of dialogue. De facto dialogue has had to be resumed, notwithstanding the initial refusal of the European Union to have any consultations with Russia on a free trade zone with Ukraine. These include three-way consultations on free trade zone issues and the Minsk agreements. Dialogue also continues at the non-public and unofficial levels.
It may take years to fully implement the scenario of a new balance of interests in Ukraine....
... significant, if not a priority, policy direction. The Russian leadership cannot afford to ignore the new challenges (the change in Ukraine’s approach to the PMR, expanding cooperation between the European Union and Moldova) and the worsening internal problems in Transnistria and rely on rhetoric about “eternal friendship”,... ... the time. However, even taking into account the loyalty of the Socialists and the supporters of the populist politician Renato Usatii, Moscow should not take a one-dimensional view of the situation. This way, it will avoid the mistakes that were made in ...
Predicting how the situation surrounding the conflict in Eastern Ukraine will develop and determining what the architecture of Russia–Ukraine relations moving forward will look like are ... ... making any predictions about how events may unfold, we should first identify the key objectives pursued by Russia, Ukraine, the European Union and the United States in their respective foreign policies (we believe it is necessary to assess the situation ...
Since the end of the Cold War and disintegration of the Soviet Union, the almost two-year-long Ukraine crisis has grown into a key event affecting global security and international relations. In fact, the situation has been ... ... seem to be possible. The freezing of the East Ukraine conflict will very likely prevent Kiev’s accession to
NATO
or
European Union
at least in the near future, because neither organization will admit states that have unsettled territorial disputes ...
Building Peace, Democracy and Regional Stability
Building Peace, Democracy and Regional Stability
A thorny road to democracy
Ukraine has entered a new stage in its long and so far uncompleted democratization process, searching once again for a balanced model of governance and a strong basis on which to carry out the many, much-needed political, economic and civil reforms. Ukraine’s ...
... Sadly, there are clear signs that this is happening, with Europe now beset by its most serious and deadly crisis in decades.
In Ukraine, more than 5,000 people have been killed, over 10,000 more have been wounded, and 1.2 million have been forced from their ... ... transparency across Europe and within existing structures, the Leadership Group should include a representative from the OSCE, the European Union, the Eurasian Economic Union, and NATO.
The Leadership Group’s first priority would be to address the current ...
... that the West might be able to marshal the necessary financial resources to keep the Kiev regime afloat, even in the face of Russian economic pressure. This scenario looks unlikely today, but then, only six months ago, many did not believe that the USA and the European Union would be able to agree on sectoral sanctions against Russia.
Increased pressure on Ukraine forecloses on the last possibility of restoring partnership relations between Russia and the West, notably the European Union, in the foreseeable future.
Third, the collapse of the Ukrainian state is fraught with many unpredictable consequences ...
... of Yugoslavia and the series of ethnic conflicts it gave rise to in the Balkans. What we are witnessing is the combination of the largest confrontation between Russia and the West since the end of the Cold War, growing animosities between Russia and Ukraine over Crimea and south-eastern Ukraine, and the transformation of the Ukrainian government project into something closer to hard line national statehood. Ukraine is the nexus where the interests of such key players as Russia, the European Union and the United States have clashed, making this purely domestic crisis turn into a regional and even global issue.
The crisis in Ukraine has not revealed anything fundamentally new in the strained relations between Russia on the one hand,...
On October 27-29, 2014 Bulgarian Sofia hosted a session of young experts’ group on Ukraine crisis and Euro-Atlantic security to discuss the Ukraine situation and ways to have it rectified.
Organized by the European Leadership Network for Multilateral Disarmament and Non-Proliferation (ELN), Munich Security Conference, Nuclear Threat ...
In recent years, historical animosities and uncertainties in the global security landscape have hindered efforts to develop a fresh approach to Euro-Atlantic security. The crisis in Ukraine has exacerbated the problem, further undermining cooperation, increasing tensions and widening differences on a host of security, political, economic and other issues.
To address the crisis and engage a new generation of analysts and problem-solvers,...
