... sharp escalation of tension may occur in the near future
The belligerent statements that the United States, North Korea and South Korea have been making about each other over the past few weeks, and the steps they have taken to mobilise their existing ... ... DPRK has finally become a nuclear power and is becoming or has already become the third country in the world - after Russia and China - that is capable of delivering a nuclear strike on US territory.
The DPRK has also begun rebuilding the Punggye-ri nuclear ...
... in Washington settling down, it is becoming increasingly clear that the US Democratic administration policy toward Russia and China contains more elements of continuity than elements of change. Unfortunately, this continuity is not something that they ... ... incentive for making these ties more diverse and intensive.
After China, Foreign Minister Lavrov is making an extended stop in South Korea. Here, again, the Russian minister can find plenty of issues to discuss with his hosts that have little or nothing ...
... Chine draw from the Korean War to better handle conflict?
This year marks the 70
th
anniversary of the outbreak of the Korean War. It was initially a civil war that gradually evolved into an international conflict, during which the Soviet Union and China supported North Korea. Last Friday, China commemorated the 70
th
anniversary of the Chinese People's Volunteers army entering the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) in the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea. How to evaluate China's ...
... and they agreed to discuss the possibility of supplying the country with a light-water reactor. The United States, Japan and South Korea also undertook to normalize their relations with North Korea, provided that the latter returns to the Treaty on the ... ... economic and social problems will be so great that they may jeopardize the country’s status and economic position. Moving on to China and Russia, they do not want to see a conflict breaking out on the Korean peninsula and call for stability, in the hope ...
... inaction, or “wu wei” (无为 in simplified Chinese), which entails a conscious refusal to act and the assumption of a contemplative stance. From the outset of the confrontation... ... States and Japan are progressing toward a “technological union” in order to defeat China in the race for domination of the semiconductor industry
Public Opinion
Sergey... ... one third (29 per cent) of respondents admitted that they had a negative opinion of South Korea. This was far more pronounced among older people, which can be linked to...
... Rapprochement and Russia’s Role in Conflict Prevention
Thanks to the “New Year’s” initiatives of Kim Jong-un – to which South Korean Moon Jae-in responded for his own reasons – significant progress was made in the inter-Korean dialogue at the highest ... ... United States would have fewer opportunities to build up its military potential in Asia, which is directly primarily against China. For this reason, the United States does not want to allow “liberties” on the part of its junior partner in the union....
... to use the words of Ri Son-Gwon, head of North Korea’s delegation at the inter-Korean talks held on January 9, 2018 in the South Korean segment of the demilitarized zone in Panmunjom.
In his traditional New Year’s speech, supreme leader of North Korea ... ... Pyongyang used it as a “vent” to reduce pressure in the “Korean cauldron” by eroding the united front of its enemies. China and Russia eagerly supported these initiatives, and South Korea is on now on Pyongyang’s side as well, as it is extremely ...
... Asian feel to world politics last week, what with a series of major events being held in the Asia-Pacific and President Donald Trump making his first official visits to the countries of the region. Asia awaited Trump’s arrival with a sense of unease.
China expected Trump to make decisive statements about the “North Korean dossier” and the growing trade deficit between the two countries, and would attempt to demonstrate that Washington today is a hard-line negotiator. South Korea was concerned Trump would denounce the United States–Korea Free Trade Agreement. Japan was worried the President of the United States would force them to enter negotiations on a bilateral free trade agreement. Both Seoul and Tokyo feared ...
... commitments? These risks will, of course, continue for the foreseeable future – although they can be limited. First of all, the refusal to demand unconditional and immediate nuclear disarmament should reduce the level of paranoia in Pyongyang and promote North ... ... usual double game, it is all the more imperative to establish effective cooperation among the intelligence services of Russia, China, the United States, South Korea and Japan. Today, such cooperation, if it even exists, is clearly not up to the challenge: judging by numerous “intelligence ...
... seek a solution using political and diplomatic means. At the same time, the situation remains extremely complex, and a new escalation could happen at any moment.
The Northeast Asian drama involves three main actors: North Korea, the United States, and China. What are the motives behind the key characters in this drama, which more often than not smacks of farce?
North Korea is driven by the basic instinct of survival in the face of actual and imaginary threats on the part of the U.S. and South Korea. The only way for Pyongyang to safeguard itself against its external enemies and preserve sovereignty is to have nuclear weapons.
Alexey Arbatov:
U.S. Nuclear Warheads' Scary Modernization
The U.S., for its part, is trying to prevent the ...
