... a compromise does appear, then the most serious concerns of the Trump administration regarding Iran’s politics should be addressed, otherwise, no deal can be concluded. Clearly, the greatest threat coming from Iran is the prospect of it developing nuclear weapons. When it comes to the nuclear deterrence with regard to Iran, two factors are important for the United States: the possibility of verifying compliance on the part of Iran with its obligations and the term of the JCPOA’s validity. At ...
... the target country with fewer opportunities to use it for achieving diplomatic goals.
Second, the breakdown of the JCPOA undermines non-proliferation efforts. North Korea is a case in point proving that while failing to remove sanctions, possessing nuclear weapons provides some leverage in negotiations. At the same time, giving up nuclear weapons leads to the re-imposition of sanctions under new pretexts.
Third, every new round of sanctions forces target countries to adapt and find new ways to carry ...
... years ago, I attended a small public conference where a representative of the NATO Secretariat was speaking. It was a time of internal turmoil in Pakistan. I asked a question: which country does NATO consider to be a greater threat, Pakistan, which has nuclear weapons, or Iran, which does not. He thought for a while and said: I still think it’s Iran. I asked why. He said because nobody in Pakistan, neither the government, nor the opposition, had claimed that they would destroy another country, while ...
... arms race will no doubt have a hand in nuclear cruise missiles returning to the arsenal of the U.S. fleet [
11
], which will increase its striking power significantly, as any submarine or destroyer/cruiser could potentially become a delivery system for nuclear weapons with a range of several thousand kilometers.
Greg Thielmann:
Are We Approaching the End of the Arms Control Era?
What is the situation with Russia? We should immediately note here that the data used is unofficial and taken from open (primarily non-Russian) sources [
12
]. It may ...
... Approaching the End of the Arms Control Era?
The next link in the chain of disintegration is the bilateral START III Treaty. Mutual accusations about the failure to abide by this treaty – at least in terms of its spirit if not the letter – are becoming increasingly ... ... relations and this is already happening before our eyes. Washington has launched a campaign accusing Moscow of conducting secret nuclear weapons tests. Thus, the future of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty that has been signed but not ratified by ...
... discuss and search for solutions to topical issues in the area of non-proliferation, control, deterrence, and safety of the use of nuclear weapons.
The keynote speakers at the conference were Stephen Biegun, U.S. Special Representative for North Korea; Adam ... ... President, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia (1998–2004), Anatoly Antonov, Ambassador of the Russian Federation to the USA, RIAC Member, and Sergey Rogov, Academic Director of the RAS Institute for U.S. and Canadian Studies, RIAC Member.
U.S.-Russian ...
... Peninsula have two main components. Today, the greatest emphasis is placed on North Korea’s nuclear crisis stemming from the North Korean leadership implementing their nuclear missile program in violation of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Yet there is another component, the inter-Korean crisis, with the Korean nation being split into two separate states for over 70 years. These crises are inter-related, but their mutual influence is not straightforward. Should Pyongyang ...
The possibility of countries like Russia and the United States negotiating a new arms control treaty will be nearly impossible considering the current geopolitical conditions, Russian International Affairs Council President and former Russian FM Igor Ivanov said during a panel discussion on US-Russia strategic relations.
The possibility of countries like Russia and the United States negotiating a new arms control treaty will be nearly impossible considering the current geopolitical conditions,...
... by the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG)
Statement by the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG)
We have crossed over to a new nuclear era in which cyber capabilities transform the nuclear risks. A successful cyberattack on nuclear weapons or related systems—including nuclear planning systems, early warning systems, communication systems, and delivery systems, in addition to the nuclear weapons themselves — could have catastrophic consequences.
Bilateral and multilateral ...
... Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms. “Almost 99.9% that it will not be renewed. There is no reason to talk about a new treaty,” said Zolotarev.
The speaker underscored the very vague prospects of The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: “While Russia and the U.S. were engaged in maintaining strategic stability in a bilateral format discussing whether we could destroy each other or not, the world acquired three new nuclear powers. The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation ...
