... annihilation and the discovery of the war ends of gunpowder
[xiv]
. Nuclear deterrence during Cold War historically was closely related to the idea of strategic stability. Alexander Savelyev notes that this principle became the basis for the Treaty between the USA and the USSR on the elimination of their intermediate-range and shorter-range missiles of 1987, as well as the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty of 1991
[xv]
.
Andrey Kortunov:
The Future of the Middle East: Horizons of Challenges and Opportunities
Anyway, this approach was soon surpassed both by the strong defeat in Indochina, after which the US visibly retreated to their
home garden
, and which led them to a rediscovery of the terricolous ...
... eliminate the head, the person that comes after is usually even more of a risk. The main priority now is to resolve the issue for thousands of ISIS fighters and affiliates, as well as wives and children who are in prison camps in North-East Syria and Iraq. This ... ... grievances and drivers that lead to the revolt in the first place are not ignored. Only an inclusive and more transparent Syria and Middle East more broadly will be able to counter the ideological threat posed by ISIS and other terrorist organizations, which ...
... energy revolution could be a fertile ground for new potential opportunities in expanding cooperation between the countries of the Middle East with China, India, as well as with the European Union; at the same time, a decrease in the importance of the region ... ... to be a contentious issue (e.g. building new settlements in disputed territories in Israel or new development projects in Jerusalem);
Persistent political instability in the region may hinder the development of urban autonomy and prevent any move towards ...
America’s withdrawal creates an opportunity and a challenge for Moscow.
The withdrawal of American forces from Syria is said to be a gift to Russia. As the sole power from outside the Middle East with military forces and political influence in Syria, Russia may indeed become the security manager in that country. But only if it rises to the occasion. So far Russia has earned the right to play a role in Syria, but if it wants to be the ...
... hopes to use these political terms as a tool to pressure Damascus and its allies. Apart from political considerations, the refusal to cooperate directly with the Syrian government is justified by citing the need to implement administrative reforms and ... ... international community, given that the conflict’s grave political and humanitarian aftermath has extended far beyond the Middle East region.
The refugee problem is inseparably linked with Syria’s reconstruction. Syrian refugees make up no less than ...
Sooner or later, the Emerging Situation Will Force the Trump Administration to Make the Difficult Choice between the JCPOA and a New War in the Middle East
In the last few months, the U.S.¬–Iran confrontation has been rapidly and steadily plunging the Middle East into the atmosphere of an impending armed conflict. The main stumbling block for Tehran and Washington is the Joint Comprehensive ...
... and as the tension has been growing, this need is getting more and more urgent. Before giving any assessment, it is important to trace which new trends in the Middle East policy of the United States and Israel served as the ground for the summit in Jerusalem and how they affect the interests of Russia in the region.
From Obama to Trump: Middle East U-Turns
During the presidency of Obama the US strategic line in the Middle East as a whole did not go beyond the traditional framework of previous administrations being committed to Israel's security, maintaining allied relations with Saudi ...
... Middle East will be accompanied by the need to coordinate positions with regional players.
The main issue for Moscow in the Middle East in the years ahead will be the implementation of a shift from a military-political approach to an economic one or ... ... the desire of the states of the region to diversify their ties does not mean a lack of desire to cooperate with the EU and the USA. Regional elites can use their contacts with Moscow to get greater benefits from the West by showing that they have alternative ...
Any US action in Iran would profoundly benefit China’s interests in Iran and strengthen its position across the region
China’s rise in the Middle East is not simply a case of debt-trap diplomacy or expanding Chinese influence, it requires an ideological shift to accommodate a new regional player and the process of institutional change that that brings. Any US action in Iran would profoundly ...
... “structured dialogue” on security threats going to the OSCE since 2017 can help de-escalate the situation. However, to do this, we must work together to reduce the danger of war and prevent incidents, and not to waste forces on fruitless mutual accusations or attempts to fix non-consensus and deliberately confrontational topics from the category of “hybrid” threats on its agenda.
Today, many of our Western partners are willing to appeal to "multilateral" approaches, but they do not ...
