... member in the south of the Alliance’s “eastern flank”, the prospects of that country integrating Moldova are worrying Moscow.
So far, the unionists’ chances of making Moldova part of Romania appear even less realistic than the prospects of the Transnistrian conflict being resolved through federalization of Moldova. Yet the confrontation might aggravate the situation, if not to the level of the tragic 1992 events.
Ukraine: a tangle of contradictions
Ukraine is likely to remain the key area of conflict in the post-Soviet space in the coming decade owing to the huge associated tangle of contradictions, including the political confrontation between Russia and the ...
... with the states that are not part of narrower integration structures like the EEU in the first place.
It is quite symbolic that Ukraine, regardless of the extreme deterioration of its relations with Russia, does not refuse to be a member of the CIS and its ... ... there are no attempts to force changes, and changes appear to be unlikely in the foreseeable future.
As for the conflict in Transnistria, there are some positive dynamics due to Igor Dodon’s victory in the presidential election. While frequent meetings ...
... was touched upon at a conference in Mostar (Bosnia and Herzegovina) on April 11, 2011. URL:
http://mfa-pmr.org/ru/GTm
(in Russian).
5
. Transnistria: Who is the Boss Now? URL:
http://totul.md/ru/newsitem/838005.html
(in Russian).
6
. In this format, Moldova and Transnistria were the parties to the conflict, Russia and Ukraine were guarantor countries, the OSCE was the mediator and the European Union and the United States were observers.
7
. Nina Shtanski: Interaction between Russia and the EU in Transnistria Settlement: From Consultations to Coordination. URL:
http://regnum....
... Transnistria in the Ukraine context, because Russian-Ukrainian relations present a key factor for the TMR survival. The inclusion of Tiraspol into the bilateral conflict does not match the interests of Transnistria and Russia. For the length of the Moldova-Transnistria conflict, Ukraine's goodwill or neutrality for a long time served to maintain vital communications channels, whereas their destruction would bring damage far beyond military transit. Hence, the desecuritization of the Transnistrian-Ukrainian border acquires paramount ...
... European Union and 7.8 per cent to Ukraine. Customs Union countries (Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan) accounted for just 18.2 per cent of Transnistria’s export, with Russia making up 17.6 per cent.
At the same time, Russia is the biggest importer to Transnistria (42.6 per cent), followed by Ukraine (17.4 per cent), Belarus (6.5 per cent), Germany (5.7 per cent), Moldova (5 per cent) and Italy (2.8 per cent). Despite the declared course towards “Eurasian integration” and its “reorientation towards the transport market”, the situation changed little in the first eight months of 2014. As ...
Even as Arsen Avakov, Ukraine's interior minister, vows to restore order in the country's east where thousands of protestors wave Russian flags and storm government buildings, a different kind of emergency is rising on Ukraine's south-western border. Transnistria, Moldova's breakaway region, has decided not to attend a meeting of the "5+2" group which has been seeking a diplomatic solution to the 24-year-old conflict along the Dniester. With reference to Crimea, Transnistrian authorities are pressing ...
