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CIA National Intelligence Estimates on the Cross-Strait and Sino-Russian Relations

... will not vote in favour of diplomatic recognition of any de facto states in Europe in the late 2000s, forcing it to reopen the debate on the recognition of Taiwan and the application of the Montevideo Convention. As the CIA shows, relations between China and Taiwan will lead to a debate on the recognition of Kosovo, Abkhazia, South Ossetia and possibly Transnistria and Nagorno-Karabakh. Although apparently focusing on Taiwan-China relations, the report provides multiple references that link Taiwan and Chinese diplomacy to the Balkans and the Caucasus, as ...

27.05.2020

expert column

All for One and One for All: Diplomatic Recognition of Kosovo, Abkhazia and South-Ossetia

... re-integrating or implementing a Federal/Confederal system with Abkhazia and South-Ossetia. The same could apply to Serbia in Kosovo. Western states and Russia have failed to develop a sustainable dialogue regarding partially recognized states in the post-Socialist order, contrary to Beijing in Southern Asia. Tensions remain between Taiwan and Beijing, although economic cooperation has been and still is the primary driver of the China-Taiwan relationship. Georgia and Serbia could learn from such an experience.

08.11.2019

expert column

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In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?

U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements	33 (31%)
U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity	30 (28%)
U.S. wants to dissolve Russia	24 (22%)
U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China	21 (19%)