... built in Votkinsk, to control the ban on production of medium-range missiles under the INF Treaty, here many more would have to be built. The inspectors would have to be accompanied... ... munitions, but they may be addressed by very different measures.
Expert Opinions on Russia’s Basic Nuclear Deterrence Principles
If it were up to me, I would tell the... ... Why don’t we count, for instance, nuclear air-launched cruise missiles? Under the New START we count each heavy bomber as one delivery vehicle and one warhead while,...
... and Libya, an abrupt and unexpected drop in global oil prices, which triggered the global recession, exacerbated US-China differences and, finally, the coronavirus pandemic came as more significant political developments than the termination of the INF Treaty or the prospect of the New START expiring without being renewed. Over the past year, the leaders’ priorities in the United States and Russia have been increasingly shifting towards domestic problems and challenges. The lacklustre demise of the INF Treaty was increasingly perceived not as a tragic failure of a well-functioning system, but as an historical inevitability and another chapter ...
This article is part of the Russia-EU: Promoting Informed Dialogue project supported by the European Union in Russia.
The 50-year-old arms control regime ... ... America, fully follows the logic of abolishing U.S. international security commitments. The next shoe to fall will likely be the New START Treaty, which the Trump administration seems happy to let expire next February.
Accusations of Russian infringements ...
... never been agreed. So the Treaty was up in the air until the new treaty, the Prague New START. However, even though the Prague Treaty did develop verification systems,... ... one with China’s participation. Because China is the only country, in addition to Russia and the US, that is actively developing and building up its weapons. The UK and... ... how many warheads their missiles will carry.
Dmitry Stefanovich:
The Collapse of the INF Treaty as a Motivation?
Something similar happened in the early 1970s when the US...
... to resume talks.
If this is the case, the task is to shorten the pause as much as possible and make the resumption of the talks as simple as possible. There are at least four ways of doing this.
First, even the absence of formal obligations under the INF Treaty or the New START Treaty cannot stop the sides from honouring them de facto. The analysis of the Russian and American nuclear modernisation plans shows that the sides do not intend to move beyond the existing agreements. An informal arrangement or at least a silent agreement to maintain the status quo in the nuclear sphere would definitely help Russia ...
... goodwill and the desire to demonstrate a willingness to cooperate” it will continue to honor the limits set by New START, while continuing to upgrade its strategic nuclear forces even at an accelerated pace.
Alexander Yermakov:
Brave New World Without INF Treaty
Does this mean that there is no cause for concern in Russia in connection with the collapse of New START from the point of view of national security? Of course not. It will be difficult for Russia to deliver a symmetrical response to any possible actions of the United States, if only for geographical reasons: just like back in the 1980s, U.S. intermediate-range ...
... reducing nuclear arms, the priority task for all should be to prevent a nuclear war
For several years, serious experts in Russia and the West have repeatedly warned the public about the threat of the collapse of the international nuclear arms control ... ... the then general positive dynamics of Russia-US political cooperation. Meanwhile, judging by everything, the collapse of the INF Treaty 17 years later may prove fatal to the system because it coincided with a highly acute political crisis in relations ...
... now?
RIAC and ELN Report “Towards a More Stable NATO — Russia Relationship”
Even more distressing than the demise of the INF Treaty is the US and Russian failure to immediately exercise their option to extend the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty for five years beyond its ... ... Few expect that he will allow a fair hearing from defense and intelligence officials, who are known to be strong advocates of New START extension.
Light in the Darkness
I cannot deny that prospects for a rejuvenation of arms control any time soon appear ...
RIAC and RUSI Report, #45 / 2019
A report based on findings from the third round of the UK–Russia Track 1.5 (non-governmental) bilateral security dialogue, which
The Royal United Services Institute
(RUSI) held in collaboration with the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC).
The first year of the project identified several security and ...
... launched the procedure of withdrawal from the Treaty on the Elimination of the Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles (INF Treaty). Russia, in turn, also suspended its participation in the INF. According to Andrei Kortunov, Director General of the Russian Council on International Affairs, the United States’ decision can create a “domino effect” in the nuclear arms control: by quitting the INF Treaty, Washington puts in question the prolongation of the New START agreement, and without the New START, there will be a broader issue of maintaining the nuclear weapons non-proliferation regime.
Three levels of argumentation
Igor Ivanov:
Nuclear Catastrophe: Myth or Reality?
There are three circumstances ...
