... tremendously difficult task that allows for some flexibility but also raises the risks of further escalation
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has demonstrated an unprecedented use of missile capabilities and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) by both ... ... such as UAVs, through ‘tailored combinations of conventional … capabilities, together with the unique deterrent effect of nuclear weapons.’ Further, as noted by the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, the dual capability of hypersonic missiles may ...
As the world's two super-nuclear powers, the relations of Russia and the U.S. are inseparable from nuclear risk
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia and the United ... ... but in different forms and with different objectives. Both Russia and the United States are well aware of the presence of the nuclear weapons factor in this conflict. Russia's main objective is to deter the United States and NATO from directly intervening ...
... Russian TNWs in Belarus, made on March 25, 2023, was a dramatic turn in Russia’s military policy and in the course of the Ukrainian crisis. [
39
] This initiative is significant not only because the Russian Federation took such a step for the first time after the collapse of the USSR and thus borrowed NATO’s practice, which it had always condemned and declared a violation of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. [
40
] What’s much more important is that it significantly enlarges the scope of using the doctrine of nuclear ...
... IMEMO RAS Center for International Security; and Dmitry Stefanovich, Vatfor Project Co-Founder. Yulia Melnikova, RIAC Program Coordinator, moderated the discussion.
The experts discussed issues related to the current system of control and limitation of nuclear weapons. The participants assessed theoretical and practical approaches to considering the likelihood of a nuclear war. Other issues included most pressing challenges between Russia, the United States, and China in the field of nuclear arms limitation and control.
Key talking points:
Aleksandr Ermakov
The aggravation of the current military and political situation in the world over the past few years notwithstanding, the ...
... crisis and following the terrorist attack of September 11, 2001, the U.S. unilaterally put its strategic forces on high alert. Russia did so in 2022 as it did, judging by some signs, in 2014 during the unification with Crimea [
44
]. In both latter cases,... ... not see any threat of a nuclear war.
It is, however, hardly prudent to hope for similar restraint in nuclear escalation of the Ukrainian crisis. Practice shows that underestimating the enemy in a conventional conflict is fraught with harsh consequences, and in case of nuclear weapons it might prove disastrous for all parties involved.
The current confrontation has another important psychological ...
On April 22, 2015, RIAC held its first open
webinar
on the nuclear element in Russian-American relations. To sum up the event, RIAC expert
Alexey Fenenko
, Leading Researcher at the RAS Institute of International ... ... unilaterally, and the response of others is far from clear. States are moving toward more intensive conflicts with the local use of nuclear weapons, but the victorious deal will remain the standard outcome.
To this end, what about Asia-Pacific?
Because of the ...
