... possible. There are at least four ways of doing this.
First, even the absence of formal obligations under the INF Treaty or the New START Treaty cannot stop the sides from honouring them de facto. The analysis of the Russian and American nuclear modernisation ... ... will be technologically and geopolitically easier for Moscow to take advantage of Washington’s decision to withdraw from the INF Treaty.
Second, any Russia-US consultations on the principles of strategic stability would be useful in the first or second track or even between them. It would be naive to expect a breakthrough,...
Russia Should Prepare for the Very Realistic Scenario in which the New START will not be Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms control – the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) – are starting to crumble too, as it is looking dangerously ...
... launched the procedure of withdrawal from the Treaty on the Elimination of the Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles (INF Treaty). Russia, in turn, also suspended its participation in the INF. According to Andrei Kortunov, Director General of the ... ... “domino effect” in the nuclear arms control: by quitting the INF Treaty, Washington puts in question the prolongation of the New START agreement, and without the New START, there will be a broader issue of maintaining the nuclear weapons non-proliferation ...
... RAS Institute for the U.S. and Canadian Studies, retired Major General, RIAC expert, noted that the U.S. withdrawal from the INF Treaty threatens New START — an agreement between the Russian Federation and the United States of America on Measures for the Further Reduction ... ... prospects of The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: “While Russia and the U.S. were engaged in maintaining strategic stability in a bilateral format discussing whether we could destroy each other or not, the world acquired three new ...
... not-so-new” launcher had been planned all along, but did not emerge until now due to concerns about possible breaches of the INF Treaty, and that it was only greenlighted once an appropriate, militarily significant cruise missile had emerged that met ... ....–Russia system of treaties remain in place. This, however, would require both parties to act fairly boldly.
The Future of New START and Arms Control
It should be stressed here that, unless the United States resorts to overly provocative activities ...
... Yes, the Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty was signed in Moscow in 2002, and the New START was signed in 2010. And both these documents are, without a doubt, very important... ... taken by certain leaders, rather than a systemic approach of the two sides to ensuring strategic stability in the world. The ABM Treaty long served as a stabilizing factor... ... reducing that of its international partners.
Andrey Kortunov:
The World After the INF Treaty: How to Get Out of the Dead Zone
And what did this do to Russia–U.S. relations...
... parties agree to lower the ceilings further, while simultaneously developing new delivery systems.
Thirdly, simply extending New START will not greatly improve arms control in the long run. Any further reductions must envisage the involvement of other ... ... and approved (!) definitions for terminology and broader concepts related to nuclear weapons policy and strategy: deterrence, strategic stability etc. The latter process may start as a Track II discussion.
Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky:
INF Treaty: More than Just an Agreement
The INF is a tougher topic. Both countries have officially accused each other of breaching ...
... unacceptable damage. The McNamara/Sakharov criteria of the Cold War period were purely speculative as well, although we can say that they were proven to be sound through empirical practice, as there were no nuclear strikes during that time. The maintenance of strategic stability in the current situation, which is marked by a significantly lower that the Cold War era level of SNF by numbers, paves the way for thinking about further reductions in the future.
The model presented above shows that if the total ...
... a military conflict. We must work together, including our militaries, to increase transparency and trust.
Fourth, work jointly to preserve and extend existing agreements and treaties, including the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and New START Treaty.
These two agreements are crucial to sustaining transparency and predictability. In the absence of these agreements, there will be no regulations on nuclear forces, exacerbating today’s already high risks.
Fifth, continue consultations ...
... need be. Such actions are capable of resolving the two countries’ differences on the INF Treaty and on the ABM program.
Parameters of the new treaty
After the mutually... ... launches of new ICBMs. The U.S. has been unofficially voicing its concerns about the New START procedure because Russia has tested and supplemented its arsenal with new... ...
The influence of intelligence, military, and criminal activities
in cyberspace
on strategic stability, including as regards
the vulnerability of nuclear weapons
. This...
