The bottom line is that the costs far outweigh the benefits, which is what underlies our bleak assessment of the current scenario
Most experts, both in Russia and abroad, thought it was extremely unlikely and implausible that Russia would launch a full-scale military operation in Ukraine. Allegations that Moscow was preparing for something like this were laughed off, with this being labeled as another Russophobic campaign pushed by propagandists and radicals. However, it turned out on February...
A path forward would be to strengthen the strategic alliance between Russia and Armenia, with the aim of preventing Turkey, and by extension NATO, from establishing any domination in the post-Soviet Transcaucasia
This July will mark the 300th anniversary of
Peter the Great’s
Caspian campaign. The campaign proved costly for the Russian emperor in terms of lives and resources, and the outcome was disappointing. Nevertheless, the events of July 1722 marked a key moment for Russia’s southern expansion...
... temporary truce into a lasting and stable peace. On both sides, diplomats, international experts, and public figures worked hard to solve this difficult task. Many practical proposals have been prepared on both Ukraine and broader issues pertaining to European security.
Unfortunately, none of these proposals have been heard to become a cut-off point for an agreement. The gap between Russia and the West was widening, while tensions around Ukraine continued to build up. As a result, the eight-year truce ...
The latest developments on the Ukrainian case will undoubtedly have far-reaching ramifications—for the Russian-Ukrainian relations and, more broadly, for security in Europe and globally
So, the decision has been taken, with Russia officially recognizing sovereignty and independence of the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics. The establishment of diplomatic relations is followed by economic, humanitarian and military aid, as well as other measures necessary to formalize the statehood of the new...
The meeting focused on the current situation around Ukraine, the prospects for its de-escalation, as well as the future of relations between Russia and the West against the backdrop of increasing tensions
On February 4, 2022, YGLN (Younger Generation Leaders Network on Euro-Atlantic Security) held an online meeting of the security working group. The meeting focused on the current situation around Ukraine, the prospects for its de-escalation, as well as the future of relations between Russia and...
Interview for Going Underground / RT
Interview for Going Underground / RT
We speak to Director-General of the Russian International Affairs Council Andrey Kortunov. He discusses why Vladimir Putin is unlikely to invade Ukraine and how Putin would have conducted the invasion if he were to go through with it, whether the current crisis shows a failure in Russian diplomacy, alleged plans for a Russian puppet government to be installed in Kiev, contentions over the Minsk agreements between Kiev and...
The introduction of amendments to the United Kingdom's sanctions legislation on Russia on the day of the visit was unlikely to achieve any results other than prompting cold restraint from Moscow
The visit to Moscow by British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss can be considered a textbook example of a combination of diplomacy and sanctions. Scholars have long debated the effectiveness of sanctions in reinforcing a diplomatic position. The UK Foreign Secretary’s visit to Moscow will most likely be among...
On February 10, 2022, a regular online international expert dialog on Russia-NATO relations took place, bringing together experts, former diplomats and military, public leaders from Russia, the USA, and European NATO member-states
On February 10, 2022, a regular online international expert dialog on Russia-NATO relations took place, bringing together experts, former diplomats and military, public leaders from Russia, the USA, and European NATO member-states.
The organizers of the dialog on the...
... parties agreed, including respect for sovereign rights, self-determination, noninterference in internal affairs, restraining from threats or use of force, and peaceful settlement of disputes. The goal is to establish a firm basis for the organization of European security going forward that takes into account historical developments and technological advances since 1975 that affect the way states relate to one another and act on the global stage.
Reaching a comprehensive settlement will take considerable ...
... as well as militarily, and an attempt at its implementation could have had dire consequences for the country, which was then undergoing a deep internal political and social crisis.
Russia’s consolidated position was to launch negotiations on a new European security architecture that were to run in parallel to the ongoing process of NATO enlargement, which Russia could not stop at that time. This architecture could replace the military-political confrontation in the Euro-Atlantic that took shape ...
