... the Transdniestrian Settlement Process
On February 25, 2021, a group of European diplomats working on OSCE issues visited Russian International Affairs Council. The group was chaired by Ambassador Thomas Mayr-Harting, Special Representative of OSCE ... ... Transdniestrian settlement, Russia-Moldova relations, as well as some general challenges of interaction between Russia and the European Union at the present stage.
... diplomatic recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, in contrast to Moldova, where no noticeable change has taken place in Transnistria since 1992.
This situation is paradoxical because a rapprochement between Moscow and Chisinau could confer many strategic advantages on the Kremlin. In this respect, better Russian-Moldovan relations would thus hinder any possible advance of the European Union and NATO in Molodva, and could also force Ukraine to reconsider its diplomatic approach vis-à-vis the Eurasian ...
... the next few years.
A Country with a Frozen Conflict
Andrey Devyatkov:
Moldova and Transnistria: the Spectre of Federalization
The forecast devotes a great deal of space to the Transnistria issue. The author correctly identifies the attempts of the European Union to “tame” Transnistria, Russia’s declining share in Transnistrian exports and the growing role of Moldova and Romania.
The author predicts an aggravation in the current “trench war,” but notes that the sides are not in a position to take more radical steps. Indeed, this ...
... status issues and bringing about political stabilization in the region. Second is the potential creation of an additional instrument to help solve the Ukraine crisis and normalize Russia–Ukraine relations. Third is the potential impact of the Transnistria conflict on relations between Russia and the European Union. The latter has a special interest in minimizing instability in regions close to its borders.
After the armed confrontation on the Dniester culminated in the July 21, 1992 signing of the Agreement on the Principles of Peaceful Settlement,...
... aggravations generate more restrictions. With time, the economic dependence of Transnistria on Russia will grow, but the effectiveness of the support rendered will fall, progressively failing to assuage the exacerbating difficulties. At the same time, Transnistria is constantly improving its economic ties with Moldova and the European Union.
Russian-Ukrainian relations present a key factor for the TMR survival.
There are additional complications for Moscow over the development of its approach due the need to regard Transnistria in the Ukraine context, because Russian-Ukrainian relations ...
...
Possible political space for compromises on trade-related issues
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Pavel Kandel:
Transnistria in the Shadow of the Ukraine Crisis
From a technical point of view, Transdniestria... ... future trade relations of Transdniestria and the EU. In particular, in a number of European Union bodies there is an opinion that it is necessary to find a formula for... ... the division of Moldova would become final. Transdniestria’s relations with the Russian Federation, on the other hand, would be built on the basis of signed interdepartmental...
... Institute of Contemporary Development; Vladimir Olenchenko, Senior Research Fellow of the European Union Studies Sector at RAS Institute of World Economy and International Relations;... ... Sea Department at RAS Institute for European Studies; Yuri Cheban, Vice-President of Transnistria Union of Industrialists, Agrarians and Entrepreneurs; Kornel Churja, Head... ... Executive Director of Moldovan Centre for Strategic Studies and Reforms.
Roundtable “Russia and the EU: in Search for Ways for Cooperation within Common Neighborhood on...
... experts, RIAC Director General Andrey Kortunov received a
letter of gratitude from Roxana Cristescu
, head of CMI’s Program in Eastern Europe & Caucasus.
The CMI is grateful for the event that has provided its team with ample forecasts about Russian policies toward Moldova and Transnistria, as well as Russia-EU interaction on aspects relevant to relations with them. The meeting has been of great significance for CMI and its future activities.
In Search for Partners
Everyone knows how it feels to deal with a suitcase without a handle: you can’t carry it and you can’t drop it. In a way, this conveys the attitude toward Transnistria of most actors interested in settling this long-standing conflict, including the two sides (Chisinau and Tiraspol), mediators (Russia, Ukraine and the OSCE) and observers (the U.S. and the EU). Contemporary international politics presumes that “frozen” and similar ethno-territorial conflicts can be settled without delay. Everyone involved is supposed to pretend that ...
