Predicting critical events, an institutional challenge.

... That’s what Daniel Levy, Middle East director at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), told The New York Times in an ... ... explanation, all clocks stopped. The Saudi Press Agency reported that Prince Bandar was relieved of his post as Chief of General Intelligence ... ... during his secret visit outside Moscow with Russian president Vladimir Putin. He bragged that Riyadh controlled Chechen extremists ... ... sound analysis that avoids “miscalculations.” The European Community dawdled and miscalculated badly on Ukraine and ...