Working Paper #66, 2022
Working Paper #66, 2022
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict will lead to long-term global socio-economic and political consequences in the foreseeable future. Russian and foreign experts are currently exploring a wide range of scenarios for such transformation—from relatively positive to extremely negative. The author formulated three potentially possible options for the current world order transformation, assessing the probability and consequences of the practical implementation...
... security, as well as a survey in the form of individual interviews with security experts. The two surveys were conducted in seven European countries, including Russia. The text of the report is available
here
.
Ivan Timofeev, RIAC Director of Programs, and ... ... “wake up” and responsibly form a political strategy in a situation when international tension is increasing.
An expert from Ukraine Nikolay Kapitonenko, Associate Professor at the Institute of International Relations of Kyiv National Taras Shevchenko ...
Assessing the prospects and context of Ukraine’s EU drive
Ukraine first embraced the European path during the 2004 revolution. Institutionally, this path implies the country’s aspiration to join the EU and NATO. The recent amendments to the Ukrainian constitution legitimise this drive. This very fact suggests that Ukraine is committed ...
... predetermine a difficult Russiaт-Western century. What are the scenarios? And what can be done?
Can Russia return to the European fold in the foreseeable future? I ask this not in the geographic sense, of course — for Russia has always been, and ... ... to the European world and order that existed 15, 20 or even 30 years ago. In that European order, there was no conflict over Ukraine, no sharp Eurozone crisis, no migration crisis on the present scale, no Brexit, and no rise of right-wing populism. That ...
After the ceasefire negotiated in Minsk, a peace settlement in eastern Ukraine remains distant. Most of the points in the agreement, including Ukraine’s constitutional reform and the resumption ... ... ceasefire’s formal entry into force suggests.
If the truce sticks, it will be the first negotiated arrangement in a newly divided Europe, leaving Russia almost alone on the east, with much of the rest of Europe supporting Ukraine. This split can grow much ...
