... high degree of probability expected to continue their existing path. The futures of Bahrain and Qatar, however, depend highly on developments in Saudi Arabia.
Vectors of power dynamics
are especially strong from Saudi Arabia. Today, Egypt depends on Saudi Arabian money for stability, and Egypt is a key member of the Saudi led “Arab Response Force”, by some called “Arab NATO”. Yemen, at the Bab el-Mandeb strait and close to the Asir region (one of the last to be included into Saudi Arabia after an uneasy treaty with Yemen, 1934), has always been strategic for Saudi Arabia. Bahrain’s kingdom depends on external military support,...
... look too radical, naïve or detached from the current regional political realities. Nevertheless, the desperate situation in Yemen and the stalemate around Qatar suggest that any half-way, tactical solutions are not good enough to handle basic security ... ... any international collective security system — its inclusive nature. It goes without saying that leading Arab nations — Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE and others — have to play a decisive role in building such a system. However, can one ignore non-Arab states ...
..., but due to its domestic troubles and a chronic shortage of finances Cairo
can no longer afford an active foreign policy
.
Saudi Arabia is rolling in cash, but its army and security services are too weak to take up this region-wide responsibility. Besides,... ... struggle over succession, which effectively overshadows all other activities.
REUTERS/Khaled Abdullah/Pixstream
Leonid Issaev:
Yemen: Following in Afghanistan’s Footsteps?
Today the various different sides are trying to create, or rather revive, the tandem of Egyptian soldiers and Saudi money. However, the prospects for this arrangement seem doubtful because there is no truly positive ...