Middle East – 2030

... Black Swans ”: Qatar may experience an invasion from Saudi Arabia, resulting in a more oppressive system. Iraq in the North, may, but this is more uncertain, also experience a Saudi invasion in the Sunni dominated west, going all the way up to eastern Syria. Lebanon in North, may experience invasion by Israel in the south “ended” by the insertion of a Saudi- Egyptian dominated “Arab Peace Force” into Beirut – effectively an occupation. Saudi Arabia : (a) The political family-system is changed with US engineering. The country liberalizes. (b) The oppressive systems are turned-over by militaries-clericals, creating a religiously dominated system. As clerics go into the responsibility ...