... International Dialogue invited Andrey Kortunov, Academic Director of the Russian International Affairs Council, and Zhao Huasheng, Professor at Fudan University and expert with the Beijing Club for International Dialogue, to discuss the problems pertaining to international security, preventing a nuclear war, the rise of a new world order and prospects for the China-Russia relations.
The world security situation: pessimistic or optimistic?
Andrey Kortunov:
Recent international developments give few reasons to stay optimistic about global security—at least, in the nearest future. Most of the ongoing conflicts ...
... of the major power centers of the Collective West diverge? How likely is this unity to extend to subsequent engagement with China as a major strategic adversary? What are the prospects for a significant number of states in the Global South to join the ... ... a possible interdisciplinary discussion that could provide answers to these and other questions.
A New Western Cohesion and World Order
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The controversial “Thucydides trap” argument has sparked a heated debate since 2013, when President
Xi Jinping
of China told a cluster of western guests: “We must all work together to avoid Thucydides’ trap.” Later, this concept was elucidated ... ... Thucydides’ Trap
. So, what exactly is this Thucydides ’trap?
Igor Ivanov:
The Belt and Road Initiative: Towards a New World Order
The phrase originates from the ancient Greek historian Thucydides who had observed that the Peloponnesian war (431BC-404BC) ...
... policies do not win the day.
What kind of global governance could we expect in 10–15 years? What powers will determine the future world order in your opinion? And what place should Russia take?
I would like to think that we will see continued strong international ... ...
Despite the current deterioration in relations between the United States and Russia, and tensions between the United States and China, global cooperation on international security remains important, whether that be on counter terrorism, regulating nuclear, chemical and other weapons ...
The conclusion is clear: to preserve the liberal world order by all means, to rationalize United States policy, and to isolate Russia and China or make them return to their usual roles. But a return of the old order of post-bipolar times is unlikely
Andrey Kortunov:
Why the World is Not Becoming Multipolar
The organizers of the Munich Security Conference have released their
annual report
...
... Agreement
By withdrawing from the INF treaty, the U.S. is giving itself free rein not only in Europe but also in Asia. Beijing is likely to feel the impact of the U.S’s decision. Sooner or later, the Pentagon may start expanding its arsenal for deterring China to ensure that it maintains “escalation dominance.” Intermediate-range systems could play a significant role toward this end if U.S. allies in the region agree to host them.
Global security will also lose out. The nuclear nonproliferation regime,...
