Working Paper #66, 2022
Although the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which is now unfolding before our very eyes, can be seen as ... ... history, a regrettable exception to the established rules that underpin a mostly stable world order, an accidental blip on the computer monitor? Or are we witnessing a clear... ... for at the start of the conflict [
Under the scenario of “restoration”, India will ultimately consolidate its holding as the principal promoter of the liberal...
... relations, whereby they sincerely intend to regulate their comprehensive competition more responsibly, with an aim towards eventually clinching a “new détente” that would prospectively consist of a series of mutual compromises all across Eurasia;
India and Turkey continuing to “balance” between the U.S. and Russia so as to ensure their rise as great powers in an increasingly complex world order, which will in turn improve their strategic leverage vis-a-vis China and enable them to expand their envisioned “spheres of influence” more sustainably;
China continuing to formulate its grand strategy under the unofficial influence of ...
Washington consensus 2.0 / China–India Axis / Multipolar balance of power / New bipolarity
A few months ago, the author wrote an
for the RIAC website ... ... article attempted to construct several scenarios for Europe’s future depending on the possible development trajectories of Russia and the EU through 2024. The scenario matrix for Greater Europe was built along two axes: a weak (fragmented) EU versus ...