Working Paper #66, 2022
Working Paper #66, 2022
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict will lead to long-term global socio-economic and political consequences in the foreseeable future. Russian and foreign experts are currently exploring a wide range of scenarios for such transformation—from relatively positive to extremely negative. The author formulated three potentially possible options for the current world order transformation, assessing the probability and consequences of the practical implementation...
... Security Cannot be Anti-Russian
The US energy sector wins. In the near future, it will receive a significant part of the European market. In addition, it will now be more convenient for the Americans to oust Russia from the world arms markets. China and India will remain major buyers, but competition for other markets will be more difficult for Moscow due to stronger US opposition.
The United States has accumulated a set of internal problems. The Russian factor once again makes it possible to at least ...
... discrimination that have gone unnoticed by the tainted Western media.
A considerable section of strategic and defense analysts, both in India and abroad, believe that it was not a war but limited military action, initiated to achieve some justifiable and strategic ... ... for violation of Article 2(4) should understand the circumstances that led the Kremlin to take such an extreme step. The accusation that Russia has breached the core principles of international law is unfounded and disingenuous. It should be remembered ...
... the Soviet Union had a need for uranium imports to develop its own nuclear sector, this presented a great opportunity for the usage of these vast deposits of uranium. On one hand, Soviet atomic experts assisted with their technical expertise, but also ... ... such a case, there is a probability that even the pro-nuclear states, such as Hungary or Poland would not back such a decision.
India and China and the nuclear energy revolution
Ivan Timofeev, Sabine Fischer:
EU-Russia in 2030: Alternatives Scenarios
India ...
To make the good relationship truly great, Moscow must rethink, adjust, and upgrade its approach to India
Russian-Indian relations are traditionally good. The chemistry between the leaders is excellent, and members of the public are well disposed toward each other. Economic ties have long been stalling, however, and mutual suspicions have recently ...
... economic leverage. Once again, we would like to stress that China tends to more restrained than the U.S. in using unilateral sanctions, although this instrument is still present in China’s foreign policy toolbox as has been demonstrated by Beijing’s refusal to purchase Australian coal. It should also be noted that Moscow is forced to reckon with Washington’s significant influence in its neighboring states (Ukraine and Georgia), just as India has to take into account Beijing’s standing in the states of South Asia (Sri Lanka and Myanmar).
What does this mean for Russia?
The above prompts the conclusion that India will have to
take careful stock of its foreign policy priorities
in the ...
... speaks to how they have been compelled by the circumstances to revise their grand strategic outlook.
The Eurasian “Balancing” Act
The arguably emerging NWO will be characterized by plenty of “balancing”, especially as regards Russian, Turkish, Indian, and Chinese grand strategies in Eurasia:
Russia
The Eurasian great power will seek to optimize its
Afro-Eurasian “balancing” act
between West and East, the former comprising the U.S./EU while the latter encompassing China vis-a-vis BRI; India ...
... and this trend is likely to continue in the near future. On the whole, the factors driving the Indo-Pacific strategy forward are clearly stronger than the constraints.
Prospects for the Squad-based Indo-Pacific
The political will of the U.S., Japan, India and Australia to foster the Indo-Pacific cooperation is increasing rather than weakening, which is the most important basis for further progress of the Indo-Pacific. Although the concept and objectives of the Indo-Pacific strategy of the four countries ...
... the U.S. presidential elections.
On January 14, 2021, Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General, took part in the webinar on geopolitical implications of the U.S. presidential elections.
The event was organized by Global Counter Terrorism Council, an Indian think tank. The participants of the webinar included diplomats, government officials, representatives of international organizations, and foreign policy experts from South Asia and the Middle East.
Russia and India are going to lose a lot if they have to take sides in this forthcoming US-China rivalry
"Russia is losing India!"—I have been hearing such lamentations in Moscow for as long as I have followed world politics. Pessimism and alarmism ...
