On April 18, 2019, at IFRI (Institut français des relations internationales), Paris, Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General, held a closed expert seminar session on the ”Future of Strategic Stability in the Context of Confrontation between Moscow and Washington”.
On April 18, 2019, at IFRI (Institut français des relations internationales), Paris, Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General, held a closed expert seminar session ...
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The absence of dialogue—in particular, crisis management dialogue intended to avoid or resolve incidents that could breed escalation—severely undercuts the sustained communication essential for reaching mutual understandings on and maintaining strategic stability. Simply stated, we cannot have strategic stability without dialogue.
The challenge to the United States, NATO, and Russia is clear, and the answer compelling: Nations must begin the process of rebuilding trust so that it will again ...
Director General of the Russian International Affairs Council Andrey Kortunov on the Future of Nuclear Arms Control
Andrey Kortunov:
The Domino Effect: America’s Withdrawal from the INF Treaty and Its Ramifications
Few of us remember how negotiations on the Iranian nuclear programme began. In October 2003, British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw, Ministry of Europe and Foreign Affairs of France Dominique de Villepin and Federal Minister for Foreign Affairs of Germany Joschka Fischer approached President...
... not like could be eliminated, even if there is no formal reason for this. This is the first level of argumentation.
The second level of argumentation is connected with the fact that the INF Treaty limits missiles of only two parties – Russia and the USA. Meanwhile, the technology of medium- and shorter-range missiles is being vigorously developed in many other countries, primarily in China, where these missiles form the basis of its strategic potential. Of course, the Americans spoke about this, ...
... 31, 2019, International Multimedia Press Center at IIA Rossiya Segodnya hosted a round table on the prospects for the continued existence of The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (The INF Treaty) and the existing international architecture for strategic stability. Representatives of Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) took part in the discussion.
On January 31, 2019, International Multimedia Press Center at IIA Rossiya Segodnya hosted a round table on the prospects for the continued ...
... Committee on Foreign Relations. The document explained Russia’s position with regard to the allegations of the United States that Moscow had failed to observe the INF Treaty [
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]. Without going into much detail as to the essence of the mutual accusations, it should be noted that Washington’s failure to embrace a constructive approach presents the key threat to prolonging New START beyond 2021. Most importantly, Russia is presumably prepared to agree to a system of so-called “cabinet-level ...
... technology is developing at an unprecedented rate: almost every day we hear news about the appearance of new, increasingly deadly weapons. Moreover, Russia and the United States — the two countries, which are responsible to a great extent for the strategic stability in the world — are not conducting any negotiations on the issue. What could all this lead to?
It truly is a very alarming situation, and the risks to global security are rapidly increasing. Of course, we also had an arms race — ...
The U.S.-Russia strategic relationship—the only one to have featured strategic arms control—is no longer central to global strategic stability. While Sino-American relations are not nearly as dominant in terms of the rest of the world as U.S.-Soviet relations were during the Cold War. Thus twentieth-century methods of dealing with the issue of strategic stability, such as ...
... proliferation of nuclear weapons is overplayed, but less expensive technologies can proliferate, and that can cause challenges to the more established countries. That is probably way of the future.
What are the prospects of resuming the U.S.-Russia dialogue on strategic stability?
There is a lot of suspicion on both sides, a lot of distrust. I think we’ve missed the opportunity to take positive steps forward, it is ridiculous. However, anything can happen. Would you expect Trump and Kim Jong-un to meet? A ...
... and approved (!) definitions for terminology and broader concepts related to nuclear weapons policy and strategy: deterrence, strategic stability etc. The latter process may start as a Track II discussion.
Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky:
INF Treaty: More than ... ...
The INF is a tougher topic. Both countries have officially accused each other of breaching the treaty, while denying the accusations of the other side. The US has already codified its accusations which, for example, serve as the justification for sanctions ...
