... resumed its work, bringing together experts, former diplomats and military, public leaders from Russia, the USA, and European NATO member-states.
The organizers of the dialog on the Russian side included RAS Institute for the U.S. and Canadian Studies ... ... were considered, as well as the prospects for resuming Russian-Ukrainian negotiations. In addition, the participants discussed scenarios for possible escalation of the conflict on the territory of Ukraine and ways to prevent it. The discussion was moderated ...
....”
Andrey Kortunov:
The end of diplomacy? Seven Glimpses of the New Normal
The consequences of a potential conflict that I predicted three months ago can now be supplemented with another two.
Afterthought 1.
Moving towards a significant increase in NATO’s military presence in Eastern Europe. With a number of Western states blocking the airspace, the Kaliningrad Region can successfully be isolated from the rest of Russia. NATO is currently avoiding active engagement in the crisis. However, tensions ...
... of escalation is coming. In the near future, we can expect the development of the situation according to one of the following scenarios.
The first scenario is “War”. Russia in this scenario will proceed from several premises.
Igor Ivanov:
Is War Inevitable?... ... Russia are impossible. The Ukrainian government itself sees no alternative to ensure the country’s security other than through NATO membership. The West will also work towards integrating Ukraine into its security structures. It is impossible to change ...
... significant successes in implementing socioeconomic reforms, Ukraine will more insistently demand a speedy integration into the bodies of NATO and the European Union. Although Ukraine is unlikely to become a full member of either the European Union or NATO in the foreseeable future, cooperation with these organizations will become intense and multifaceted.
Andrey Kortunov:
Europe and Russia: Four Scenarios for the New Cycle
If this scenario materializes, then for Russian authorities, Ukraine will become not merely a major nuisance, but a fundamental existential challenge. The prospect of Ukraine inevitably joining NATO entails the intensive militarization ...
... the initiative of President Trump, who was successfully reelected in November of the previous year. As a result, the UN staff was completely paralyzed by the beginning of 2022.
In March 2022, American neoconservatives led by the ill but still active Senator John McCain demanded that the UN be disbanded and replaced with the global Democratic League that would include the United States, its closest allies and also other “true democracies.” Newly-appointed US Secretary of State John Bolton called ...
