... send a tidal wave of new refugees in the region, instigating a migration crisis. Additionally, it will further add pressure on the economies neighboring Syria, including Turkey’s. A ground operation will only intensify the disastrous consequences in Syria.
Russian Special Presidential Envoy to Syria Alexander Lavrentiev warned that the Turkish operation would lead to an outbreak of violence and civilian casualties, as well as increase the threat of terrorism. Military confrontation intensification in Syria ...
... course of the Turkish operation "The Source of Peace" in the fall of 2019, during negotiations between the Russian side and the Syrian Kurds, the latter agreed to Russian proposals to withdraw YPG units from the border strip in northeastern Syria, where Russian-Turkish patrols were supposed to operate. This provision was enshrined in the
Sochi Memorandum
, to which Erdogan referred in his claims against Moscow. However, once it became clear that the Trump administration had changed its decision to withdraw ...
... clarify the position of the U.S. and EU in terms of Damascus taking certain steps in exchange for the easing of the sanction regime, such efforts have never been made by either side.
1
. For more detail see the author’s work
US Sanctions Against Syria
in
https://russiancouncil.ru/upload/iblock/692/sanctions_policy_2020.pdf
С. 359.
... be key in resolving the Syrian crisis. Economic reintegration may prove to be a catalyst for the peace process. This working paper presents a political economy model for the settlement of the situation in Syria. The author explores the positions of Russia, Iran and China in Syria and their points of interaction. Possible scenarios for the development of the situation in Syria are analysed in detail, as are the modalities of the impact of the Ukraine crisis on the configuration of external actors of the Syrian conflict.
Settling ...
... power and expanding its territorial control through concomitant diplomatic efforts.
Throughout the Syrian war, regularized military and political exchanges have served to strengthen the Russia-Iran relationship. With the changing military dynamics in Syria, Russia, Iran, and Turkey spearheaded the Astana Process as a parallel track to the UN mediation. Moscow’s diplomatic and military gains on the ground have also embroiled them in a broader regional geopolitical competition between the United States, ...
... on July 9, 2021. In this context, Russia cannot agree with the comments on “the obvious progress” in cross-line aid deliveries, when the situation has hardly improved.
Kirill Semenov
Finishing the Job: Turkey Preparing For Military Operation in Syria
Russia’s main concerns about CBM and prolongation of UNSC res. 2585
To wrap up all mentioned above, Russia’s main concerns about the CBM and its prolongation revolve around six main arguments.
1. There is next to none projects of early recovery and ...
... possibility of this scenario having the most pernicious effect on the Euro-Atlantic solidarity. Moscow still has certain leverage to manage this situation, since Syria’s SDF-controlled northeast is essentially split into two areas of responsibility, the Russian-Syrian one in the west and American in the east. Americans still apparently hold the advantage in both areas as they control the air space over both. Washington most likely takes into account possible Moscow–Ankara arrangements concerning a Turkish ...
... gets more focused on the region and invests more resources and political capital in eroding Russian partnerships (e.g. by incentivising Turkey to become a more disciplined member of the NATO Alliance).
Andrey Kortunov:
A Tale of Two Interventions: Why Russia Succeeded in Syria When U.S. Failed in Afghanistan
Standing by Legitimacy vs Promoting Change
Russian leadership has traditionally taken a consistently legalistic approach to political developments in the world at large and in the Eastern Mediterranean region in particular....
... Turkey into an independent regional player. Although Ankara sought to assert a separate position from the United States, it still found itself on the same side of U.S. policy on the Syrian Civil War, albeit with different aims than Washington. Turkish-Russian competition in Syria was especially intense, culminating in the
Turkish shootdown of a Russian
Sukhoi
Su-24
over the Syrian airspace on 24 November 2015.
Pietro Shakarian:
Karabakh—A Delicate Matter
The
Sukhoi
incident marked the lowest ebb in the Russo-Turkish ...
... positions on key issues of the regional agenda. Within the framework of the workshop two sessions were held. The first session was devoted to the regional policy of Iran. The second one was dedicated to the views of Russia and the UK on the situation in Syria.
Leading Russian and British experts took part at the meeting.
