... cars. But on top of all of these domestic reasons, there is one other significant foreign policy angle that makes this a uniquely American Faustian bargain: the oil price slide has clearly put greater teeth into the American sanctions imposed against Russia, as it has hurt the Russian ruble significantly. Sanctions alone for the first half of 2014 basically had no real impact on the Russian economy and the real lives of Russian citizens. It was only this Autumn as world markets saw the Saudi decision ...
On December 18 President Vladimir Putin gave his traditional end-of-year holiday speech. Think of it as a Russian version of the American State-of-the-Union address always given by our President. In it Putin expressed dismay and concern at the manner in which Russia’s “Western partners” were behaving, even going so far as to declare Western ...
Anyone who has worked through post-mortems on the Iraq war is familiar with the pitfalls associated with ‘groupthink’ and preconceptions. Indeed, it is perhaps one of the few modern examples of consensus across American partisanship. Some have argued such assumptions emerged from an administration not interested in counter-arguments and alternative information. Others pointed to embedded preconceptions within the Intelligence Community itself, making it impossible to jump off the analytical...
... conceptualizations of culture within the discipline engender entirely different approaches and therefore radically different conclusions about how we view and evaluate said communities. Below is a ‘case glance’ of the phenomenon utilizing the Russian Federation. Perhaps most interesting and fairly unexpected is how in terms of security affairs American understanding about Russia seems to be hurt more analytically by grand strategic culture and is often never analyzed from a perspective that ...
Applying the “predator-prey” model to the system of international relations
The crisis in relations between Russia and the West, the advance of ISIS, and the arms race in the Asia-Pacific region all point to a potential shake-up of the world order. Shake-ups of this kind tend to be of a catastrophic nature – a gradual change in some critical area is suddenly ...
... Ukraine today is still massively misconstrued and misinformed in the West. Once again, it is the over-reliance on grand strategic culture that pushes the problem. This approach leaves an analyst with no choice but to begin from a foundation that assumes Russian aggression, Russian aspiration for re-establishing empire (whatever that actually means is never defined of course), and Russian desire to interfere in the affairs of its neighbors. All of these approaches are overblown and sometimes purposely ...
... global agenda. Among those taking part will be RIAC President
Igor Ivanov
, Director General
Andrei Kortunov
and Programme Director
Ivan Timofeev
.
As of 2014, the Foundation for Development and Support of the Valdai Discussion Club consists of the Russian International Affairs Council, the
Moscow State Institute of International Relations
, the
Council on Foreign and Defense Policy
and the
Higher School of Economics
. Over the course of three days, leading international affairs experts will discuss issues of global regulation, relations between Russia and the ...
... club’s co-founders – has published a report by RIAC Programme Director Ivan Timofeev entitled “
World Order or World Anarchy: A Look at the Modern System of International Relations
.”
The situation in Ukraine and the crisis in international relations have again raised questions about what kind of world we live in. Is there such a thing as world order? What are its foundations? How should Russia proceed in an increasingly competitive global environment?
This global environment, according to the report, is extremely uncertain. And it is this uncertainty that causes the key global players to be in constant fear of hostile actions on the ...
... analysis of international relations are revised and its guiding characteristics are determined.
The structure of the modern world order and its particular dynamics are revealed with the help of mathematical modelling methods. Possible directions for Russia’s policy in the changing world environment are considered.
World Order Or World Anarchy? A Look at the Modern System of International Relations
, 1 Mb
The surrealism of the Ukrainian conflict continued last week, with the 28 members of the NATO alliance meeting in a cozy golf resort in Wales, United Kingdom, to discuss all of the supposedly egregious and disconcerting Russian maneuvers against Ukraine and demanding that Russia stop inviting further sanctions and pressure against itself, as British Prime Minister David Cameron emphasized at the summit. All of this is well and good, of course, part of the pomp and circumstance ...
