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For all the importance of limiting and reducing nuclear arms, the priority task for all should be to prevent a nuclear war For several years, serious experts in Russia and the West have repeatedly warned the public about the threat of the collapse of the international nuclear arms control system. They spoke about the system, to be precise, because in the past half a century arms control developed as a sum-total ...
... that any new strategic arms control agreements will be signed in the next few years. First of all, the political background in Russian-US relations is not favorable for fruitful talks. Can such an agreement be discussed at all when the two countries’ ... ... Alexander Yermakov: Brave New World Without INF Treaty First, even the absence of formal obligations under the INF Treaty or the New START Treaty cannot stop the sides from honoring them de facto. The analysis of the Russian and American nuclear modernization ...
... (but not the only, as we will discuss later) prerequisites for arms reduction and cutting the associated costs. At present, Russia does not question the fact that the INF Treaty, if observed, is a key component of the current environment, which can be ... ... demonstrate and explain the specifics of their own weapons systems and accept the opponent’s explanations. The prospects of the New START being prolonged are moot, and the balance may shift either way. In fact, if the INF Treaty is cancelled altogether, ...
It is still possible that both sides may uncover some new options for arms control, with the aim of upgrading and updating the principles of New START and the INF Treaty The articles below were informed by a roundtable discussion in London in October 2018 between the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) and RUSI to discuss the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. While the discussion revealed some differences in perspective, it was agreed that expert dialogue can play an important role in informing the ...
... prevent an incident turning into unimaginable catastrophe? For those gripped with complacency, consider this scenario. It is 2019. Russia is conducting a large military exercise in its territory bordering NATO. A NATO observer aircraft accidentally approaches ... ... other practical steps to reduce the risk of nuclear use—including resolving the current problems with INF and extending the New START Treaty through 2026. There remains the challenge of rebuilding trust between the United States, NATO and Russia so that ...
... Trump in Paris on November 11th 2018, 79 European political, diplomatic and military leadership figures are appealing to both Russia and the US not to take unilateral action that would jeopardise the future of the INF without further efforts, such a move ... ... the INF crisis would be highly damaging. Even more troubling would be the likely consequences of the Treaty’s demise. The New START Agreement, which limits US and Russian strategic nuclear warheads and delivery vehicles, expires in 2021 and the INF ...
... in 1972 and had served as a foundation of global strategic stability for 30 years. I remember well the tremendous efforts the Russian leadership poured into trying to keep the American side from taking such a step. President Vladimir Putin met several ... ... are in high-risk regions where military tensions are already elevated. Dmitry Stefanovich: Post-Helsinki Opportunities for New START and the INF Treaty? I would venture to suggest that, following the withdrawal from the INF Treaty, the U.S. Administration ...
... itself should be revised Could the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty have been saved? No doubt. American and Russian experts have long discussed allegations of treaty violations in great detail, and there is no shortage of proposals on ... ... for several years, and the chances of preserving it dwindle every month. Dmitry Stefanovich: Post-Helsinki Opportunities for New START and the INF Treaty? Neither Russia nor the United States has displayed much political will or persistence in seeking ...
Reaffirming that a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought, the United States and Russia could agree to specific steps at Helsinki to reduce nuclear risks Presidents Trump and Putin will finally meet next week ... ... jointly to preserve and extend existing agreements and treaties, including the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and New START Treaty. These two agreements are crucial to sustaining transparency and predictability. In the absence of these agreements,...
... in a completely new global environment In the aftermath of the 2016 presidential election, the enmity between the U.S. and Russia has reached new highs. However, the intense heat generated by the current Trump–Russia scandal as well as U.S.–Russia ... ... specific tasks are regarded as the most urgent — to salvage the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and to extend the New Start Treaty beyond its expiration date in early 2021. The first task appears to be more difficult, close to impossible now ...
| U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements |
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| U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity |
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| U.S. wants to dissolve Russia |
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| U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China |
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