... house will collapse. From this viewpoint, the death of INF is very risky because it might lead us into a world without any arms control whatsoever, not just a world with no bilateral US-Russia arms control agreements.
GT: How would relations among China, the US, and Russia affect world order?
Kortunov:
They would have a very important impact because these countries define the rules of the game. For example, if Russia and the US do not want to disarm, nobody will be ready to disarm. If China and the US cannot agree on free trade,...
... was assumed that this hyper-globalized global economy would become more ambitious in scale than the economic order of the Cold War period. Third, it was important to actively export liberal democracy throughout the whole world.
Igor Ivanov:
Russia, China and the New World Order
The execution of these three tasks fit in with the main liberal theories, such as liberal institutionalism, economic interdependence and the theory of a democratic world. Thus, in the minds of its architects, the construction of a strong, ...
... University and the Chinese People's Institute of Foreign Affairs. The main theme of the Forum this year was “Stabilizing the World Order: Common Responsibilities, Joint Management, and Shared Benefits”. Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) has ... ... Andrey Denisov, RIAC Member, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation to the People’s Republic of China; Sergey Karaganov, RIAC Member, Dean of the Department of World Economics and World Politics, Higher School of Economics; ...
... elements in the West, who were satisfied with the way the Cold War seemingly ended, because it looked like the Russian side had unilaterally surrendered. Even then, there was no attempt to implement the Kissingerian formula of drawing in Russia and China into co-managing a world order that was unstable because of the emergence of or transition to multipolarity. The evidence was in 1991 itself, when the last-ditch Franco-Russian formula to avoid or delay a war in the Gulf was brushed aside or ignored. The world order was ...
... seeped inside through the unlocked doors, open windows, cracked walls, and crumbling ceilings.
Can this chaos put everything back in order? Apparently not just by itself. However, it is clear to me that it would be extremely unwise for both Russia and China to cling to a world order that will soon be gone forever.
There is this opinion that Russia and China are the two largest revisionist powers of the contemporary world. In fact, if we look past the hackneyed political stereotypes, Moscow and Beijing have always tried ...
..., by the way — and he delivered on the third day of his presidency. But this does not mean it will never be in the interests of the United States to reengage through such a trade deal.
Our officials and ministers are pro-active in engaging the US, China and others, as well as through forums like the G20, to ensure that protectionist policies do not win the day.
What kind of global governance could we expect in 10–15 years? What powers will determine the future world order in your opinion? And what place should Russia take?
I would like to think that we will see continued strong international cooperation and properly functioning global governance on key concerns.
Despite the current deterioration in relations ...
The conclusion is clear: to preserve the liberal world order by all means, to rationalize United States policy, and to isolate Russia and China or make them return to their usual roles. But a return of the old order of post-bipolar times is unlikely
Andrey Kortunov:
Why the World is Not Becoming Multipolar
The organizers of the Munich Security Conference have released their
annual report
...
... Agreement
By withdrawing from the INF treaty, the U.S. is giving itself free rein not only in Europe but also in Asia. Beijing is likely to feel the impact of the U.S’s decision. Sooner or later, the Pentagon may start expanding its arsenal for deterring China to ensure that it maintains “escalation dominance.” Intermediate-range systems could play a significant role toward this end if U.S. allies in the region agree to host them.
Global security will also lose out. The nuclear nonproliferation regime,...
... should have finally taken shape as a new global political system with relevant norms, institutions, and procedures.
Yet something clearly went wrong. The world is not behaving as the founders had predicted.
Elusive Multipolarity
Igor Ivanov:
Russia, China and the New World Order
In October 2016, twenty years after Yevgeny Primakov’ policy article was published in the journal International Affairs, President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin gave a speech at the Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club ...
... across all areas.
While the bilateral dimension of Russia–China relations is important in and of itself, special attention ought to be paid to the discussion of more general matters concerning the current global situation and issues of the emerging new world order that took place during the visit. The heightened interest in those topics is understandable. Russia–China relations are not developing in a vacuum, and the dynamics and prospects of these relations moving forward are largely contingent on the global political and economic situation as a whole. This situation may generate both additional opportunities ...
