Russia’s preservation of its statehood and sovereignty again becomes the main stake of the conflict. The statehood of Ukraine is another stake
In Russia, the point of view that the goal of the United States and the “collective West” headed by Washington is a final solution to the “Russian question” is becoming more and more widespread. Such a goal is seen as defeating Russia, levelling its military potential, restructuring its statehood, rewiring its identity, and possibly liquidating it as a single...
... offbeat to the overwhelming majority of observers until February 2022. Indeed, it seemed unlikely from the perspective of the past thirty years. And yet, it materialized. Maybe it is time to break down the habitual scheme of things?
Aleksey Arbatov:
The Ukrainian Crisis and Strategic Stability
Regardless of the motives behind this proposal, it requires rational reflection, considering the fundamental importance of the issue. After all, we are talking about nuclear weapons, which are associated not just ...
There is no way Ukraine and NATO can “win” the military confrontation against Russia, and the best-case scenario they can project is tying down Russia in an endless conflict
In welcoming Finland to NATO during a visit to Helsinki on June 2, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken gave a speech which confirms what a growing number of world leaders believe: His arrogance is matched only by his delusions. The latest in a line of geopoliticians from the Brzezinski school, Blinken seems to believe that...
The Swedes and the Finns will become less secure
The end of the Nordic region’s role as constructively “different” and low-tension
In this article, I attempt to take a macro perspective on the disastrous developments for the Nordic region’s security, peace prospects and traditionally constructive role in the wider international system. What used to be called the Nordic balance—having different security profiles, taking each other’s basic interests into account but not forming a Nordic alliance...
Both New Delhi and Moscow have to sort out problems with their archrivals in order to approach conflicts in their neighbourhoods with more confidence and to enhance the efficacy of multilateral security arrangements
India and Russia are two great powers located in the South and the North of the vast Eurasian continent, and it is for a good reason that they both claim a proactive role in establishing an international order on the continent as well as globally. The two countries epitomise entire...
The SMO’s Nuclear Dimension
Virtually immediately after the start of the special military operation (SMO), large-scale warfighting in Ukraine prompted discussions of nuclear weapons-related threats and even of the expediency of using such weapons. At the same time, such comments and statements are mostly highly unprofessional. This article attempts to substantively examine nuclear escalation scenarios. The purpose of this exercise is to identify the most dangerous scenarios and ways of preventing...
Relations with Kiev Should be Built on the Same Principles as those with, for Instance, Warsaw, Bratislava or Bucharest
Nearly five years have passed since the start of the dramatic events of the Maidan in Kiev that engendered a profound crisis in Russia’s relations with both Ukraine and the West. This is not a short period of time: World War I lasted a little over four years, about five years passed between the start of
Perestroika
and the collapse of the USSR. All wars and crises come to an...
This report is based on the results of discussions held by the EU–Russia Expert Network in 2017 and 2018.
Four years after the fallout over Ukraine, rivalry and sanctions have become the ‘new normal’ between Russia and the EU. Both sides have become used to a state of affairs where relations are mired in inertia, and are currently both unable and unwilling to change the status quo.
This report is based on the results of discussions held by the EU–Russia Expert Network in 2017 and 2018. It states...
On September 20, 2016 an international expert workshop “Lessons of the Ukrainian conflict: Restoration of the European Security or Revision of Its Foundations?” took place in Berlin.
The expert workshop, jointly organized by the German Council on Foreign Relations (Die Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik,
DGAP
) and the US
Brookings Institute
, became the latest in a series of events, held within the framework of a long-term US-European project on assessing the role...
On September 4-7, 2016, Helsinki became the venue for the 5th meeting of young leaders on Ukraine and security in the Euro-Atlantic.
The participants discussed the outcomes of the NATO summit in Warsaw, new guidelines in the Finnish foreign policy, cybersecurity, the meaning and future of the Helsinki principles and many other issues. They also met with representatives of the Finnish ministries and agencies and took part in a series of roundtables.
The event was attended by young leaders from Russia...
