... is suited to the realities of the 21st century and should be considered modern or a relic of the past.
A. Kortunov also pointed out that the NATO foreign ministers’ meeting in Brussels, held from April 3-4, effectively shifted the burden of funding Ukraine from the U.S. to European countries. The ministerial also discussed the issues of defense spending and decision-making, which have been complicated by the accession of Finland and Sweden, and NATO’s further enlargement, primarily in the Western Balkans.
Dmitry Danilov, Head of the Department of European Security at the RAS Institute of Europe and MGIMO University Professor, noted that NATO was currently at a crossroads, with little clarity on how to organize the anniversary summit in ...
... military conflict largely nullified the legacy of the post-Soviet period. There will be no return to reality of 2021. Obviously, Russia will do everything possible to protect the new territorial status quo, as well as to undermine the military potential of Ukraine as much as possible. It is also obvious that the West will do everything possible to exhaust Russia, and if the circumstances are favourable for it, it will also use internal problems to its advantage.
Dmitri Trenin:
Two Worlds of Russia’s Foreign Policy
The question remains, how will the current ...
... relations with Moscow, which, in turn, influence the strategic structure and balance of power, and this will certainly have important repercussions for the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
***
A more accurate definition of China’s positioning in the Russia–Ukraine conflict is
constructive intervention rather than neutrality. Unlike the US and the West, China’s policy is not based on choosing a side, but oriented toward constructive results.
At this stage, China’s understanding of constructiveness can be summarized in the
twelve-point proposition of the Ukraine peace plan it proposed in February ...
... intermediaries too. That allows countries to arrive at outcomes that benefit them (grain supply guarantees, ensuring stable market for energy resources, etc.) and to maintain a communication channel between Moscow and Kiev.
Choosing between Russia, Ukraine and the West brings these states no advantages. Each is guided by its own interests and will continue to make use of new opportunities. Therefore, policies of Middle Eastern states toward Russia amid the Ukrainian conflict remain pragmatic and balanced even despite ...
... probably see a re-emergence of the unipolar moment—the remaining opposition to this arrangement by Beijing notwithstanding. Although Ukraine might be unfinished business for Mr Putin, Russia’s status is itself unfinished business for many in the West. Triumph for Ukraine might lead to a tamed and domesticated Russia. A quiet Russia would allow the West to cope more easily with China, which would be the only major obstacle to liberal hegemony and the long-awaited “end of history”.
If the conflict results with ...
Working Paper #66, 2022
Working Paper #66, 2022
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict will lead to long-term global socio-economic and political consequences in the foreseeable future. Russian and foreign experts are currently exploring a wide range of scenarios for such transformation—from relatively positive to extremely negative. The author formulated three potentially possible options for the current world order transformation, assessing the probability and consequences of the practical implementation...
... bought, China will be weaker to the extent that Russia may be weaker while the West may be stronger.
Ivan Timofeev:
Ukrainian Crisis. Who Has the Upper Hand?
The West’s target is the capacity and the will of Russia to resist unipolar hegemonism. The West’s aim in Ukraine, taken together with its economic strangulation of Russia, is to prevail to such a decisive extent that Russia returns to the 1990s. To put it bluntly, Russia becomes a much larger Ukraine. If the West’s aims vis-a-vis Russia succeed and a compliant ...
... entrenched role as a major U.S. villain, while the West will fight for the narratives to influence the minds and hearts of the rest of the world
Russia and the world are living through times of change. Russia has started a “special operation” in Ukraine, and the West can do little or nothing. Impotence is always a difficult thing to acknowledge, especially for the West.
The West has no military option, and instead U.S. media spread disinformation from the CIA, claiming that “Russian army will be stopped by ...
... rapprochement between Russia and China. In other words, the strategic offensive posture of NATO, which derives from the moment of unipolarity, was expected to linger in Europe.
When Russia recognized the two breakaway republics of Russian-speakers in Ukraine, following it up with troop infusion, the West could have understood the heightened yet long-standing security compulsions of Russia, considering it as a continuum of the Russian policy since 2014 and an attempt to contain things at that point. Instead, Germany chose to pull the plug on Nord ...
... closures of diplomatic missions, recalls of ambassadors and even (following the example of Ukraine) severance of diplomatic relations.
4. Moscow will have to endure a long and costly arms race. Considering the events taking place on the territory of Ukraine, the West will set itself the task of making the most of its obvious economic and technological advantages in order to devalue Russia’s military potential, both nuclear and conventional, over time. Although it is still premature to proclaim the death of ...
