... International Affairs Council as part of the project "Security System in the Middle East". This paper covers the issue of complex relations between Russia and Israel in the Middle East. The author analyzes in detail Russia’s role in the Israel-Syria-Iran triangle.
The degree of Iranian presence in Syria, the impact of the nuclear deal in the context of Israeli-Iranian regional confrontation, the role of the Palestinian-Israeli settlement in Russian-Israeli relations are also discussed in the paper....
... warheads from Incirlik to other countries (including Romania, although this rumor was subsequently denied) [
20
].
Another important nuclear issue in the Middle East was Iran’s nuclear program. The signing of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) between Iran and the P5+1 on 14 July 2015 was a major breakthrough. The agreement reflects Russia’s position as a participant in the negotiation process regarding the Iranian nuclear program. The parties expected the implementation of the JCPOA to “positively ...
... Sanctions against Iran: Background and Possible Consequences
The reinstatement of sanctions by the United States, as well as the introduction of new restrictions, following President Trump’s decision to renege on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on the Iranian nuclear programme is also partially linked to Iran’s participation in local conflicts, since charges against Tehran include participation in the Syrian and Yemeni conflicts. Iran will hardly succeed in bringing Trump back to the JCPOA in the ...
The New Round of U.S. Sanctions
The withdrawal of the United States from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on the Iranian nuclear programme has once again exacerbated the issue of sanctions against Iran. Donald Trump’s decision on the JCPOA means that the United States will return to the regime of comprehensive economic sanctions against Tehran that was in place ...
... negotiate on a wide range of issues, including nuclear and missile weapons and regional issues. In these conditions, the probability of escalation in the Middle East is much higher than the possibility of reaching a new US-Iran agreement.
Even before the JCPOA was adopted, Iran nuclear policy was broadly reactive, and the decisions made on the development of a number of projects in the nuclear fuel cycle field – for instance, on uranium enrichment exceeding the 5% limit – were based not on any real nuclear requirements ...
... trying to take advantage of his failures, which makes stabilizing Iran an even more difficult task.
The Economy after Trump
Ivan Timofeev:
A Pyrrhic Victory: the History of the Sanctions War Against Iran
Donald Trump had become a major factor for the Iranian economy even before he made the decision to withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). Following Trump’s victory in the 2016 presidential elections, most major western companies put a hold on new projects they had been developing with Iran, a move motivated by Trump’s signals that sanctions against the country could be reinstated ...
... the U.S. (which were later supported by a number of other countries) introduced unilateral sanctions against Iran.
On Dey 22 (January 12, 2018), U.S. President Donald Trump said his country would withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran unless the document were revised to eliminate what he believed to be substantial shortcomings.
These developments certainly pose a challenge to Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and his government. The question arises as to whether the Iranian protests ...
... terrorist organization
.
After Trump signed H.R.3364, which is primarily aimed against Iran’s missile program and the IRGC, Tehran started to consider its own bill as a response to the actions of the United States, which ran counter to the spirit of the JCPOA. The bill calls for allocating
nearly $900 billion
to what Iran considers to be defensive measures: a third for the development of its nuclear program; a third for supporting the operations of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Defence and Armed Forces Logistics and the Ministry of Intelligence; ...
... not expand. However, maintaining the status quo in this area between nuclear powers is permissible, because their reduction will not lead to fundamental changes in the balance of power.
Further, the experts discussed the possibility of rescuing the Iranian nuclear deal (JCPOA). The position of Trump administration boils down to the fact that the 2015 deal has its shortcomings, which should be adjusted. The U.S. wants to start a dialogue on the terms of the deal, which involves discussing a number of issues: the Iranian ...
...
Jeopardizing the agreement would not make Iran less likely to acquire nuclear weapons. On the contrary, it could precipitate another Middle East crisis that would, at the least, distract from international counter-terrorism efforts.
Trying to use the JCPOA to control Iran’s missile programme would make the best the enemy of the good: the agreement means Iran’s missiles will not carry nuclear warheads and it already
may have helped redirect Iran's missile programme
away from ICBM development.
US concerns would ...
