... recurring cycle of violence and conflict.
Already tense and divided along countless fault-lines, West Asia—from the Levant to the Iranian plateau—has been on high alert following the US assassination of Qassem Soleimani, the influential Commander of Iran’s ... ... Washington’s maximum pressure policy on Iran, following
US’ unilateral withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)
.
To be sure, the targeted assassination of a high-ranking military leader of a UN member state—and a regional power—is ...
... many US allies in the region – from Saudi Arabia to Israel – urging the White House to take more steps to stop the growing Iranian presence in the Middle East? Was it a flood of advice from self-proclaimed experts on Iran in Washington, who argued that ... ... start such a war, but the mixture of the Iranian pride and the US arrogance makes a highly explosive cocktail.
Pyotr Kortunov:
JCPOA: Forward Into the Past
Unfortunately, all prospects for bilateral negotiations between Washington and Tehran are gone at ...
... he expects from the Syrian constitution talks, how the U.S. is exerting pressure on Iran via sanctions and what the EU and Russia have in common when it comes to the Middle... ... will be following the process very closely.
There are multiple reasons as to why the European Union has limited influence over this situation. The EU has been sidelined... ... see movement in this domain. All of this stems from Trump’s decision to exit the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or Iran nuclear deal) and Europe’s adamant...
... on the oil market and other oil exporting countries are ready to increase production volumes. In this case, Iran could simply lose its market share. Later, Washington cancelled the exemptions altogether, thus even more strengthening the blockade of Iranian oil exports.
4. Even though the European Union criticized the US for withdrawing from the JCPOA and revived the 1996 Blocking Statute, major companies are expected to abide by the US sanctions and leave Iran. Over the past 15 to 20 years, the United States has created a powerful tool in the form of secondary sanctions that mostly consist of ...
... should also take the importance and practicability of the JCPOA’s conditions at the global level into account.
The current JCPOA regime, which is geared specifically towards the Iranian nuclear program, may well represent a very reliable system of checks and balances, but it still cannot be brought up to ... ... be led by recognized nuclear powers, namely Russia, the United States, China, France and the United Kingdom (and also by the European Union as an influential political association). If these countries accept the conditions for limiting Iranian uranium ...
Iran in the Middle East: Regional Spoiler or Stakeholder?
Iran’s critical role in shaping the security agenda of the Middle ... ... and that some modus vivendi with the Islamic Republic is indispensable.
Andrey Kortunov:
Iran’s Ultimatum to Europe: Is the JCPOA Doomed?
Four years ago, a protracted and very difficult multilateral negotiating process resulted in the signing of a nuclear ...
Russia can do quite a lot at the political level, but it cannot replace Europe as a potential driver of Iran’s economic and social development
On May 8, 2019, Iran sent a message to Germany, Britain, China and Russia that it was suspending the fulfilment of certain obligations under the “Iranian nuclear deal” – the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA. In particular, Tehran refuses to comply with restrictions that were placed on the production of uranium and heavy water reserves. In addition, if Iran’s partners fail to fulfil their obligations “in the banking and oil fields sectors” within ...
... region. And this is more serious, because the region is a major supplier of oil to the European market and the risks are considerably higher.
Finally, the Iran nuclear deal is a great success of multilateral diplomacy, which became possible due to the European Union’s active participation, so in terms of image the EU does not want to forfeit it. In the near future, the deal made upon the Iran nuclear program in July 2015 will continue to melt down. If no miracles happen, the JCPOA is likely to break up in 2021, in case of Trump’s re-election at the very latest. However, this may happen even earlier. In addition, in case if a Democratic candidate wins the next election, and the JCPOA survives in its current “JCPOA minus ...
... peacekeeping operations through Combined Task Forces, for example, among other options, in the Baltic region?
What would happen if the European Union developed more autonomous defense structures and peacekeeping forces? Could a more integrated EU system of defense ... ... Poland and Romania, as well as in Japan, South Korea, and the Middle East.
How might the 2013 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) nuclear accord with Iran impact U.S. Missile Defense deployments in Europe — particularly given the fact that Iran’s presumed nuclear weapons ...
