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I introspect what, if anything, would big powers and small countries expect of each other in this uncertain era – and how alignment would look like. In particular, I am interested in Eastern Europe, which historically played a geo-political buffer role. Source: Le Figaro Avons nous besoin des Russes ?... ”We do not need anybody !“, hands down the verdict the eisen-stimme of elite exceptionazism [01, 02, 03] - so much so that they ...
... have been willing to tolerate prolonged stagnation and abandon the prospects of development and growth of prosperity. And it seems that the limit of this tolerance can only be determined by trial and error. Second, this large-scale armed conflict in Eastern Europe has clearly illustrated that the internal checks and balances, upon which the interactions of world powers have relied on for the past seventy-five years (including conflicts), do not have the desired effect on the current Russian leadership....
... their positions in globally strategic regions before competitors use shifting power configurations there to their own advantage. In the context of the global geopolitical shifts that are currently underway, Germany may lead a strategic pivot away from Eastern Europe and towards the Middle East. This pivot will be channelled in part through EU institutions, possibly garnering support from other net contributors to the EU budget. Germany holds an ace to reenter the Middle East through Syria. Namely, ...
... National Security, 1984, and other articles on Russia’s national security and decision-making under Vladimir Putin, the outcome of Russian processes are pre-determined, above all, by the Kremlin anticipation of the U.S. response. This has held true for Eastern Europe, but also the Middle East. See our article in the Middle East Quarterly,“Why Putin wants Syria, ” Spring, 2016, Vol. 23 No. 2. We believed if Obama was still in office, Putin’s liberation of Belorussian would have been more likely ...
Warsaw’s ambitions — a detriment to Berlin Berlin’s current frustration with Warsaw is a symptom of Eastern Europe’s growing geopolitical importance. The region is attracting attention from two key global players: the United States and China. Germany is mainly concerned with Poland’s rapprochement with the United States and hostility towards Berlin....
... survival on energy imports. In particular, imports from Russia account for more than half of gas consumption in the area [1]. In 2016, Poland’s consumption of Russian gas was the largest, reaching 11.07 billion cubic meters. Because most Central and Eastern European governments view Russia as a threat, energy dependence on that same country appears to be a strategic vulnerability. The Three Seas Summit focusses on developing the necessary regional partnerships and infrastructure to diversify energy ...
... infantry brigade has Finnish wheeled XA-180 APCs and track armoured vehicles of the CV90 family have been bought from Holland and Norway. The Ämari Air Base in Estonia has been actively used since 2014 as part of NATO’s air patrolling of the Baltic. Eastern Europe defence-blog.com MIG-29, Belorusian Air Defence Forces Belarus The Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus began to take shape in 1991 on the basis of the Belorussian Military District of the Soviet Army. In late 1993, Belarus joined the ...
On December 7, 2016 Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) in cooperation with the Robert Bosch Center for Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and Central Asia at the DGAP , the SAIS Center for Transatlantic Relations at Johns Hopkins University and the Robert Bosch Stiftung held a seminar «Russia and the West - Building a new Modus Vivendi?». The seminar ...
On November 23, 2015, RIAC Deputy Program Director Timur Makhmutov and Program Coordinator Vladimir Morozov met with a delegation of the Friedrich Ebert Foundation. The event was also attended by representatives of the German Marshall Fund of the United States , Eurasia Forum , Amicus Europae – Foundation of Aleksander Kwasniewski , and European Parliament . The participants discussed report “EU and the East. Four Scenarios for Relations between the EU, the Russian Federation and...
... publication of research papers calling for the United States to ramp up its military presence in these countries. The Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) released one such report in August 2015: “U.S. Military Presence in Central and Eastern Europe: Consequences for NATO Strategic Adaptation, Deterrence and Allied Solidarity”. The author of the paper, Artur Kacprzyk, calls for increasing the number of U.S. troops in Central and Eastern Europe, taking into account the fact that ...
| U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements |
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| U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity |
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| U.S. wants to dissolve Russia |
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| U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China |
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