Topics // Events // Forecasts
13 march 2017
Humanity is still aiming towards a future utopia, an ideal world in which the problems of resource requirements have been solved, conflicts have been eliminated, equality among people has been attained and the environment is clean. In an incredibly technologized society, we continue to dream of “paradise”. Today, we are witnessing a clash of two different concepts of “paradise” — the rationalist and the religious. We have reached a stage of human development where progress has ceased to be a universal value and the ideology of the Enlightenment is in crisis. “Paradise” remains excruciatingly out of reach.
21 february 2017
In 2017, we are likely to see more skirmishes in Nagorno-Karabakh, since neither party learned the lessons from the escalation that took place last spring: information on the truce being periodically breached keeps coming in. Most likely, the conflict will not be resolved, but its escalation into a full-fledged war is unlikely either. As for the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), there is little chance of it changing its stance with regard to the situation, meaning that it will not intervene in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
16 february 2017
On February 16, 2017, the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) held the first “city breakfast” in Fyodor Dostoevsky library. Ivan Timofeev, RIAC Director of Programs, and Timur Makhmutov, RIAC Deputy Director of Programs, gave a lecture “the World in 100 years. International affairs forecasting: what is waiting for us in the 22nd century?” The experts discussed the main trends influencing world politics, and suggested possible development options for international affairs.
25 january 2017
Ukraine is still on the path of international self-determination and experimenting with the modelling of its state. European and Euro-Atlantic integration process is complicated by internal political situation and country’s foreign policy. What follows are current assessments of the political process in the country and the possible scenarios for the next five years.
18 january 2017
Most foreign policy forecasts open with statements about the uncertainty of the international situation. This is a convenient starting point, as it allows the analyst to hide behind and avoid taking responsibility for his or her forecasts. But if we really want to get an idea about what might await us in the future, we have to understand the “corridors of certainty”, which are visible for 2017. They are far from rosy and speak about the necessity to develop fundamentally new solutions to the accumulated problems.
08 september 2016
Late last August, the Russian International Affairs Council published reader "The World in 100 Years" containing 55 articles in Russian and English languages. It is a result of RIAC's long-standing experimental project by key Russian and foreign experts who offered their forecasts about various aspects of politics, economy and social life on the turn of the 21st century.
12 january 2016
The main thrust of media coverage going into 2016 can be described with one single phrase – the situation is complicated, but it will get even worse. Such assessments are typical during times of rapid change. And foreign policy is no exception. The set of problems and challenges is without a doubt far reaching. But in current circumstances it is probably best not to get bogged down in illusory optimism or pessimism. We need to take stock of the achievements made and possible steps that can be taken in future.
14 january 2015
Dear colleagues, 2015 will mark the fourth year that our website hosts discussions on international issues with the participation of experts, bloggers and ordinary users. Traditionally, the most popular area of discussion focuses on forecasting and analytical materials. There is high demand for short-term expert projections with regard to various crisis situations, as well as for predictions about longer-term global trends. This year, we would like to shake up the format of the discussions and propose the International Affairs Forecast of the Year Contest.
23 october 2014
In recent decades, individuals, society and the world as a whole have been changing at breakneck speed, necessitating scientific approaches to predicting future developments. However, science-based prediction is a relatively young discipline, while authors of fiction – and especially science fiction – have been attempting to model societal and technological changes for centuries. One particularly interesting trend is cyberpunk, a science fiction sub-genre that developed over the final quarter of the 20th century merging scientific prediction elements present in many preceding literary genres with a projected technologic and social future, which is rapidly becoming a reality.
17 october 2014
Dmitry Peskov, Head of the “Young Professionals” project at the Agency for Strategic Initiatives, shared with RIAC Program Director Ivan Timofeev his insights on the competitiveness of the Russian economy, on the role of innovation in the development of the country, as well as on the future of Russia.
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