Middle East // Analysis

15 march 2017

Russia – GCC Relations After the Signing of the JCPOA with Iran

Aleksandr Aksenenok Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation, Leading Researcher at the Russian Institute of Oriental Studies, RIAC Member

Omar Mahmood Research Analyst at the Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies (Derasat)

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Russian and GCC commentators are well-acquainted with the Western views regarding the GCC region. However, Russian and GCC commentators are comparatively uninformed about each other’s perspectives regarding this important topic due to the nascent nature of research dialogue between the two. The report prepared by Alexander Aksenenok and Omar Mahmood aims to remedy this communication lacuna by furnishing readers with Russian and GCC perspectives on the issue.

13 march 2017

Russia-Iran Partnership: an Overview and Prospects for the Future

Igor Ivanov President of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC), Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (1998–2004)

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The Report is prepared by the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) in partnership with the Institute for Iran-Eurasia Studies (IRAS) as part of the project “Russia-Iran Relations on the Modern Stage”. The goal of the publication is to present the views of Russian and Iranian experts on the main areas of RussiaIran cooperation, to reveal the commonality and differences in their approaches to common threats and challenges. The Report discusses Russian and Iranian vision of global governance and role of great powers, cooperation in the Middle East region, Central Asia and Afghanistan, trade and economic relations, common transport projects and interaction in international organizations such as SCO, EAEU, SREB initiative etc.

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21 february 2017

Tackling the Libyan Crisis

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The protracted conflict in Libya that has almost disappeared from the political agenda may deteriorate further and result in a full-scale war. What is the role of France in resolving the crisis in Libya? Russian International Affairs Council asked Ambassador Elisabeth Barbier, Special Envoy of France to Libya, to comment on a political solution for a problem.

01 february 2017

Trump and Putin Arrive in the Middle East

Rich Berdan Freelance writer, based in Detroit, MI, U.S.A.

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There has been no better time in recent history where Russia-U.S. bilateral relations are positioned best to leverage their coordinated influence on the divided sectarian and tribalistic theatre in the Middle East. There will be some give and take here but in the end, Trump will have built trust with Putin that allows them to move past these achievements or bygones and onto the next stage in the Middle East process. Rich Berdan shares his view on the issue.

23 january 2017

Middle East at the regional security crossroads

Alexey Khlebnikov Middle East expert and Russian foreign policy analyst, MSc Global Public Policy, Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota. PhD candidate, RIAC expert.

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Syrian civil war can be seen as the key to the stabilising the entire region. Serving as a magnet for jihadist fighters from all over the world and being the arena where interests of global, regional and local powers have been clashing for the last six years, Syria has become a crucial regional issue. This is why Syrian crisis resolution will have a huge impact on the entire region and will help to bring stability to the Middle East.

19 january 2017

Judging the Effects: The Shaping Iranian Perspective on JCPOA and Trump's Options

Abdolrasool Divsallar PhD Candidate of Political Science/Iranian Issues at University of Tehran, Research Fellow at Institute for Middle East Strategic Studies

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The second year of Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action implementation is marked with serious uncertainty about its future. Critics in Tehran call the agreement ineffective and Trump considers it to be a historically bad negotiation. But as election days in Tehran approach, it's becoming more important to have a look at Iranian perspective on JCPOA. Iranian Public opinion positively reacted to JCPOA. This article is an inside view to provide a better understanding on how Iranian perception of JCPOA is shaping.

28 december 2016

New Stage of Russia–Turkey Economic Relations

Timur Makhmutov PhD in Political Science, RIAC Deputy Program Director

Vladimir Avatkov Ph.D. in Political Science, Associate Professor at the Department of International Relations, Diplomatic Academy of MFA, Russia

Vladimir Likhachev Ph.D. in Technical Sciences, Deputy Director of the Energy Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Deputy Director of the Energy Industry Institute of the National Research University Higher School of Economics

Ruslan Mamedov Master’s degree in International Relations, RIAC Program Assistant

Nigyar Masumova PhD in Economics Associate Professor at the Department of the Global Economy, MGIMO University

Ivan Starodubtsev Ph.D. in Engineering Science, Postdoctoral researcher, International Institute of Energy Policy and Diplomacy, MGIMO University, RIAC Expert

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The report outlines the dynamics and structure of ties between Russia and Turkey in trade, economics, construction, energy and non-for-profit sector. The authors emphasize the overall progressive nature of the bilateral relations. However, the uncertain geopolitical situation largely linked to third countries affects several major joint economic projects, and could bring about negative consequences in the future. The political forces in both countries are also influenced by public demand, which softenes the worsening political differences, despite certain contradictory views and complicated regional problems.

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19 december 2016

Features and Prospects of Russia–Turkey Cooperation in Construction

Ivan Starodubtsev Ph.D. in Engineering Science, Postdoctoral researcher, International Institute of Energy Policy and Diplomacy, MGIMO University, RIAC Expert

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Since the 1990s, Russia–Turkey bilateral relations have, despite a number of contradictions, been of a generally progressive nature. Cooperation between the two countries reached a qualitatively new level in 2002, when the Justice and Development Party led by Recep Tayyip Erdogan was elected into power. According to various estimates, the share of Turkish construction companies on the Russian market before the crisis was between 20 per cent and one third.

16 december 2016

State and Prospects of Russia–Turkey Energy Relations

Vladimir Likhachev Ph.D. in Technical Sciences, Deputy Director of the Energy Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Deputy Director of the Energy Industry Institute of the National Research University Higher School of Economics

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To assess the current state and development prospects of Russia–Turkey energy relations, it is necessary to take a closer look at the changes that have taken place on Turkey’s domestic energy market, the key features of its energy policy, and the possibilities of using the country’s transit potential. It is also important to evaluate the risks associated with pursuing Russian interests in the country and the surrounding region.

15 december 2016

The Current State of Trade and Economic Relations between Russia and Turkey

Nigyar Masumova PhD in Economics Associate Professor at the Department of the Global Economy, MGIMO University

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Economic ties between Russia and Turkey were in the ascendant over the past two decades as trade grew, mutual investment increased, Russian tourists visited in droves, energy cooperation expanded and cultural ties strengthened. Then an incident on the Turkish-Syrian border caused substantial damage not only to political but also to economic relations.

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