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Blogs

Tag «Turkey»

17 december
2016
Brian Frydenborg

The (First) Russo-American Cyberwar: How Obama Lost & Putin Won, Ensuring a Trump Victory

The story of how Russia won the (First) Russo-American Cyberwar because American President Barack Obama did not fight back and failed to protect America’s democracy from Russian President Vladimir Putin’s well-orchestrated, wide-ranging cyberassault, part of Russia’s wider war on Western democracy

20 october
2016
Ruslan Mamedov

Turkish Boots on Iraqi Soil

The diplomatic conflict between Iraq and Turkey erupted in part due to discontent among Iraqis over the presence of Turkish armed forces on their territory. This issue has dragged on for a long time. The government in Baghdad has demanded that the Turks withdraw their troops from Iraq, while the Turks cite the need to train and equip the Kurdish Peshmerga and Sunni armed groups for the battle against ISIS. Actually, this is precisely what the Turks claim to be doing on Iraqi territory in the town of Bashiqa outside the “caliphate” capital of Mosul in the northern part of the country

15 september
2016
Igor Delanoe

Does Russia still have a “Kurdish card” to play in Syria?

Longstanding relations between Moscow and the Kurds has provided Russia with a “Kurdish card”, that is, the ability to modulate its support to various Kurdish national ambitions throughout the Middle East, depending on what the Kremlin was seeking to obtain from Turkey, Syria, Iraq and Iran. The current Syrian crisis is no exception and has promoted the Russian-Kurdish (PYD) partnership, especially during the period of harsh tensions between Russia and Turkey. This partnership has three goals: fighting terrorism, punish Turkey, and exert pressure on Damascus in Geneva. However, Ankara’s U-turn vis-à-vis Russia and Syria this summer has led Moscow to readjust its approach toward the Kurds.

02 august
2016
Mathew Maavak

Will Erdogan resort to regional nuclear blackmail?

Confusion surrounding the July 15 "Turkish coup" and its aftermath may have been part of an ingeniously engineered plot. Ankara's conflicting signals and actions may provide it with the ideal opening to subject its near-abroad to an unprecedented form of regional blackmail. The end-goal here seems nothing less than the union of the pan-Turkic and Pan-Islamic worlds under Erdogan's leadership. Will Russia and the United States relent? 

20 july
2016
Sergey Rekeda

Chaos Creeps up on Russia from the South

Since the start of the Ukrainian crisis, many Russian experts believed that the events in Donbass were the first stage of the crisis and that destabilization, backed by our “western partners,” would spill across the border into Russia. The events of the past weeks indeed show that the chaos is moving closer to the Russian border, but the main risks stemming from socioeconomic, political and religious problems come mainly from the South.

19 july
2016
Alexander Pivovarenko

Events in Turkey: Reaction in the Balkans

One interesting aspect of the abortive coup in Turkey on July 16, 2016 is its impact on the Balkan countries. Faced with a serious crisis and on the threshold of constitutional change, the Turkish regime needs visible success to legitimize its new status. Such a success can be scored in the Balkans.

27 april
2016
Igor Delanoe

NATO Black Sea Flotilla. A reef in the Turkish Straits

While NATO Warsaw Summit will be held in July 2016, a project originally crafted by Romania to create a Black Sea flotilla under the auspices of NATO is gaining traction. However, low defense budgets, limited Romanian and Bulgarian naval capacities, and Turkish dominance over the Straits question the viability of this project.

17 april
2016
Brian Frydenborg

Western Democracy Is on Trial, More than Any Time Since WWII

Sudden, shocking, disturbing, and largely self-propelled trends in America and Europe are doing more damage to Western democracy today than Soviet armies or nuclear missiles ever did during the Cold War