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Blogs

Tag «North Korea»

03 may
2013
Maria Prosviryakova

Как сделать первые прогнозы по модели Буэно де Мескиты?

Первоначальный прогноз развития международной и политической ситуации с точностью до 70-75% можно дать уже после того, как грамотно сформулирована проблема и собрана необходимая информация по заинтересованным акторам. Этот пост рассматривает два способа предварительного прогнозирования ситуации, предложенных профессором Нью-Йоркского университета Брюсом Буэно де Мескитой.

29 april
2013
Maria Prosviryakova

Как предсказать будущее с помощью компьютерной модели?

Профессор Нью-Йоркского университета Брюс Буэно де Мескита  еще в конце прошлого века создал компьютерную модель, позволяющую прогнозировать развитие политических и международных ситуаций.  Используя модель, профессор предлагал любопытные прогнозы, в том числе и о том, сработает ли формула «земля в обмен на мир» в арабо-израильском конфликте, создаст ли Иран атомную бомбу, как сдерживать ядерные амбиций Северной Кореи и усмирит ли Пакистан  бойцов Талибана. Интересно разобрать, что лежит в основе компьютерной модели, и что нужно знать, чтобы использовать модель для решения некоторых политических и международных проблем.

23 april
2013
Russian Council

Tarja Cronberg: Solving the Iranian Nuclear Problem

Dr. Tarja Cronberg, member of the European parliament and chair of the European parliament Iran delegation, talks about the Iranian and North Korean nuclear programs and prospects for a Middle East without weapons of mass destruction. The interview was conducted on the sidelines of international conference: “Russia and the European Union: partnership and its potential” organized by RIAC.

03 april
2013
Maria Prosviryakova

North Korean Duck

In recent days North Korea has gone much further in its rhetoric and provocations than ever before.  Early March Pyongyang threatened to exercise its "right to a pre-emptive nuclear attack", then it promised to strike the United States with “smaller and lighter nukes” and nullified the 1953 armistice, having warned that it could brace for a showdown with enemies. Couple days later North Korea also made all North Koreans sing an inspiring song about wiping out the U.S. imperialists at a stroke. Then  it decided that under this situation there is no reason to keep in touch with the south Korean puppets and cut off its last military communications with South Korea, having also ordered missile readiness. Finally, it declared war on South Korea and promised to restart its nuclear reactor in Yongbyon to expand arsenal. How serious is North Korea in its threats and provocations?

18 march
2013
Maria Prosviryakova

The Human Dimension of North Korea

North Korea is notorious for its human rights’ violations, labor camps, bizarre provocations of the United States and blind worship of its leaders. And these topics, of course, catch attention of Western media that usually portrays North Korea as being like something akin to the Joker from the Batman-movies, whose only plan is to make a mess of the world. Nevertheless, North Korea is not only its erratic leaders with crazy plans. About 24,5 million people live in North Korea and their lives do not revolve around nuclear plans. Sadly enough, regular North Koreans do not receive much media attention. Having surfed the web I obtained some interesting pictures shedding more light on daily lives of North Koreans.